{"id":5693,"date":"2012-11-03T07:59:35","date_gmt":"2012-11-03T06:59:35","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.fjala.info\/?p=5693"},"modified":"2012-11-03T07:59:35","modified_gmt":"2012-11-03T06:59:35","slug":"prognoze-paraprake-per-skenarin-4-polar-berisha-rama-meta-topi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/fjala.info\/2009-2015\/prognoze-paraprake-per-skenarin-4-polar-berisha-rama-meta-topi\/","title":{"rendered":"Prognoz\u00eb paraprake p\u00ebr skenarin 4-polar Berisha-Rama-Meta-Topi"},"content":{"rendered":"

\"\" Nga Eduard Zaloshnja<\/strong><\/p>\n

Nga deklaratat e koh\u00ebve t\u00eb fundit t\u00eb partive t\u00eb vogla, duket se skena paraelektorale e 2013-\u00ebs do t\u2019i ngjaj\u00eb shum\u00eb asaj t\u00eb 2009-\u00ebs. N\u00eb zgjedhjet e 2009-\u00ebs, u fut\u00ebn n\u00eb gar\u00eb dy koalicione t\u00eb m\u00ebdha, t\u00eb udh\u00ebhequra p\u00ebrkat\u00ebsisht nga Berisha e Rama, dhe dy koalicione t\u00eb vogla, t\u00eb udh\u00ebhequra p\u00ebrkat\u00ebsisht nga Meta e Meksi. N\u00eb zgjedhjet e ardhshme, duket se Meta p\u00ebrs\u00ebri do t\u00eb udh\u00ebheq\u00eb nj\u00eb koalicion partish t\u00eb vogla, kurse koalicionit t\u00eb udh\u00ebhequr nga Meksi duket se do t\u2019ia z\u00ebr\u00eb vendin nj\u00eb koalicion i udh\u00ebhequr nga Topi (Partit\u00eb e koalicionit t\u00eb dikursh\u00ebm \u201cMeksi\u201d, si PDK-ja, LZHK-ja, etj., po i bashkohen koalicionit qeveris\u00ebs).<\/p>\n

Fal\u00eb ngjashm\u00ebris\u00eb mes k\u00ebtyre dy skenave paraelektorale, nj\u00eb analiz\u00eb e gjeografis\u00eb s\u00eb vot\u00ebs n\u00eb 2009-\u00ebn mund t\u00eb vlej\u00eb p\u00ebr t\u00eb b\u00ebr\u00eb nj\u00eb prognoz\u00eb paraprake p\u00ebr 2013-\u00ebn.<\/p>\n

Le t\u00eb shohim s\u00eb pari sesi ka qen\u00eb ndarja e vot\u00ebs mes zonave urbane e atyre rurale. P\u00ebr leht\u00ebsi analize, elektoratin shqiptar mund ta ndajm\u00eb n\u00eb banues n\u00eb 20 qytetet tradicional\u00eb m\u00eb t\u00eb m\u00ebdhej t\u00eb Shqip\u00ebris\u00eb (p\u00ebr konvencion, po e quajm\u00eb urban k\u00ebt\u00eb elektorat) dhe banues n\u00eb pjes\u00ebn tjet\u00ebr t\u00eb vendit (p\u00ebr konvencion, po e quajm\u00eb rural k\u00ebt\u00eb elektorat).<\/p>\n

Nga rezultatet e raportuara nga KQZ-ja, v\u00ebrehet se n\u00eb elektoratin urban u regjistruan 43% e votave t\u00eb vlefshme, nd\u00ebrsa n\u00eb elektoratin rural u regjistruan 57% t\u00eb votave. Dhe tabela shoq\u00ebruese (Tabela 1) tregon se n\u00eb elektoratin urban, koalicioni i udh\u00ebhequr nga Rama pati nj\u00eb ep\u00ebrsi prej\u00a0 rreth 20.5 mij\u00eb votash ndaj koalicionit t\u00eb udh\u00ebhequr nga Berisha. Por, nga ana tjet\u00ebr, koalicioni i udh\u00ebhequr nga ky i fundit pati nj\u00eb ep\u00ebrsi prej rreth 44.5 mij\u00eb votash n\u00eb elektoratin rural. Dhe si rezultat, koalicioni \u201cBerisha\u201d regjistroi nj\u00eb ep\u00ebrsi prej rreth 24 mij\u00eb votash n\u00eb rang vendi.<\/p>\n

P\u00ebrse kjo ep\u00ebrsi e koalicionit \u201cBerisha\u201d n\u00eb elektoratin rural? Shpiegimet mund t\u00eb jen\u00eb t\u00eb shumta; t\u00eb karakterit antropologjik, social, ekonomik, politik, etj. Por kjo analiz\u00eb do t\u00eb fokusohet vet\u00ebm n\u00eb shpiegime politike.<\/p>\n

Tabela 1<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
Votat ne 20 qytetet tradicionale me te medha dhe ne pjesen tjeter te vendit. Qershor 2009<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\n

Qyteti<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Koalicioni \u201cRama\u201d<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Koalicioni \u201cBerisha\u201d<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Diferenca \u201cRama\u201d-\u201cBerisha\u201d<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Koalicioni \u201cMeta\u201d<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Koalicioni \u201cMeksi\u201d<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

Tirane<\/td>\n\n

121,317<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

106,438<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

14,879<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

14,623<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

6,316<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

Durres<\/td>\n\n

27,548<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

30,456<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-2,908<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

4,834<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

865<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

Elbasan<\/td>\n\n

20,987<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

21,502<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-515<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

2,192<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

672<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

Vlore<\/td>\n\n

22,930<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

16,617<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

6,313<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

2,640<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

1,000<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

Shkoder<\/td>\n\n

12,218<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

25,603<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-13,385<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

1,393<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

1,196<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

Korce<\/td>\n\n

17,197<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

13,877<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

3,320<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

954<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

406<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

Fier<\/td>\n\n

17,576<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

11,574<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

6,002<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

1,524<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

615<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

Berat<\/td>\n\n

11,174<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

8,681<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

2,493<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

1,822<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

378<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

Lushnje<\/td>\n\n

10,798<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

8,468<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

2,330<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

378<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

97<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

Pogradec<\/td>\n\n

7,626<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

5,501<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

2,125<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

700<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

236<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

Gjirokaster<\/td>\n\n

8,160<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

4,220<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

3,940<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

233<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

76<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

Sarande<\/td>\n\n

6,626<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

3,980<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

2,646<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

298<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

356<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

Kavaje<\/td>\n\n

2,517<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

7,481<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-4,964<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

306<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

193<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

Lezhe<\/td>\n\n

3,914<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

4,231<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-317<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

691<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

529<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

Kucove<\/td>\n\n

5,747<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

2,926<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

2,821<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

600<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

60<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

Kukes<\/td>\n\n

3,330<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

5,411<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-2,081<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

385<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

39<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

Peshkopi<\/td>\n\n

2,851<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

3,829<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-978<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

497<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

269<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

Burrel<\/td>\n\n

2,692<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

3,729<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-1,037<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

471<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

118<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

Kruje<\/td>\n\n

2,404<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

3,724<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-1,320<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

271<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

77<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

Permet<\/td>\n\n

3,211<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

2,104<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

1,107<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

324<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

88<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

Total qytetet e medha<\/td>\n\n

310,823<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

290,352<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

20,471<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

35,136<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

13,586<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

Pjesa tjeter e vendit<\/td>\n\n

377,925<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

422,393<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-44,468<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

49,271<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

19,690<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

Gjithsej Shqiperia<\/td>\n\n

688,748<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

712,745<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-23,997<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

84,407<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

33,276<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

S\u00eb pari, dy raste t\u00eb mir\u00ebnjohura t\u00eb votimit fiktiv n\u00eb em\u00ebr t\u00eb emigrant\u00ebve q\u00eb nuk kan\u00eb qen\u00eb fare n\u00eb Shqip\u00ebri dit\u00ebn e votimit jan\u00eb regjistruar jo rast\u00ebsisht n\u00eb zona rurale k\u00ebto vitet e fundit \u2013 nj\u00ebri n\u00eb komun\u00ebn Ruzhdie e tjetri n\u00eb komun\u00ebn Daj\u00e7. Pra, duket se, n\u00eb zonat rurale, opozita e ka patur m\u00eb t\u00eb v\u00ebshtir\u00eb t\u00eb ushtroj\u00eb kontroll mbi komisioner\u00ebt e saj, p\u00ebr t\u00eb mos lejuar votimin fiktiv. Mosb\u00ebrja e transaprenc\u00ebs s\u00eb votimit pas zgjedhjeve t\u00eb 2009-\u00ebs nuk krijoi mund\u00ebsin\u00eb p\u00ebr matjen e ndikimit t\u00eb votave fiktive n\u00eb ep\u00ebrsin\u00eb e koalicionit \u201cBerisha\u201d n\u00eb zonat rurale, por dy rastet e sip\u00ebrp\u00ebrmendura p\u00ebrb\u00ebjn\u00eb nj\u00eb indicie t\u00eb fort\u00eb t\u00eb ndikimit t\u00eb votave fiktive n\u00eb rezultatin p\u00ebrfundimtar.<\/p>\n

S\u00eb dyti, bie n\u00eb sy se n\u00eb komunat dhe qytezat e vogla q\u00eb qeveriseshin lokalisht nga njer\u00ebz t\u00eb koalicionit \u201cBerisha\u201d, ep\u00ebrsia n\u00eb zgjedhjet parlamentare ishte pothuaj e sigurt\u00eb, dhe anasjelltas. Nd\u00ebrkoh\u00eb, kjo nd\u00ebrlidhje statistikore nuk u v\u00ebrtetua domosdoshm\u00ebrisht edhe n\u00eb zonat urbane. K\u00ebshtu, n\u00eb dy qytetet m\u00eb t\u00eb m\u00ebdha pas kryeqytetit, n\u00eb Durr\u00ebs dhe Elbasan, t\u00eb cilat drejtoheshin nga kreybashkiak\u00eb socialist\u00eb, koalicioni \u201cRama\u201d rezultoi me nj\u00eb disavantazh total prej rreth 3400 vota. Kjo tregon se patja n\u00eb kontroll e nj\u00ebsive t\u00eb vogla lokale ndikon m\u00eb shum\u00eb n\u00eb vot\u00ebn politike sesa patja n\u00eb kontroll e nj\u00ebsive t\u00eb m\u00ebdha.<\/p>\n

Dhe p\u00ebr \u00e7far\u00eb vlen kjo analiz\u00eb e ndarjes mes vot\u00ebs urbane e ruale n\u00eb 2009-\u00ebn? N\u00eb nj\u00eb far\u00eb mase, p\u00ebr t\u00eb b\u00ebr\u00eb nj\u00eb prognoz\u00eb paraprake p\u00ebr 2013-\u00ebn.<\/p>\n

N\u00eb zgjedhjet e fundit lokale, raporti i komunave t\u00eb kontrolluara nga nj\u00ebra apo tjetra pal\u00eb ndryshoi n\u00eb favor t\u00eb koalicionit t\u00eb udh\u00ebhequr nga Rama. Pas vitit \u00a02007, pothuaj 67% e komunave kontrolloheshin nga koalicioni i udh\u00ebhequr prej Berish\u00ebs, nd\u00ebrsa sot kjo ep\u00ebrsi \u00ebsht\u00eb zbutur ndjesh\u00ebm \u2013 vet\u00ebm 55% e komunave kontrollohen nga ky koalicion dhe ato jan\u00eb kryesisht komuna me popullsi t\u00eb vog\u00ebl. Nd\u00ebrkoh\u00eb eksperienca elektorale tregon se kalimi i nj\u00eb komune nga nj\u00ebri krah n\u00eb tjetrin shoq\u00ebrohet edhe me ndryshimin e kahut t\u00eb rezultatit n\u00eb zgjedhjet politike. P\u00ebr shembull, komuna Dajt, e cila ishte kontrolluar historikisht nga PD-ja, kaloi n\u00eb duart e PS-s\u00eb n\u00eb vitin 2007, por me nj\u00eb diferenc\u00eb t\u00eb vog\u00ebl votash. Dhe pas dy vjet\u00ebsh, n\u00eb zgjedhjet politike, koalicioni \u201cRama\u201d fitoi me nj\u00eb ep\u00ebrsi gjigande n\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb komun\u00eb \u2013 pothuaj me 2500 vota \u2026<\/p>\n

P\u00ebrve\u00e7 kontrastit urban-rural<\/em>, vota e 2009-\u00ebs ofroi edhe nj\u00eb kontrast tjet\u00ebr t\u00eb duksh\u00ebm; at\u00eb Jug-Veri<\/em>.\u00a0 Tabela 2 tregon se n\u00eb qarqet veriore, koalicioni i udh\u00ebhequr nga Berisha ka patur nj\u00eb ep\u00ebrsi t\u00eb thell\u00eb ndaj atij t\u00eb udh\u00ebhequr prej Ram\u00ebs. Por sa m\u00eb n\u00eb jug t\u00eb zbritet, aq m\u00eb shum\u00eb kjo ep\u00ebrsi zvog\u00eblohet dhe, n\u00eb qarkun e Tiran\u00ebs, ka patur pothuaj nj\u00eb barazim mes dy koalicioneve.\u00a0 Nd\u00ebrsa duke filluar nga qarku i Elabasanit e posht\u00eb ka patur nj\u00eb ep\u00ebrsi gjithnj\u00eb n\u00eb rritje t\u00eb koalicionit t\u00eb hudh\u00ebhequr nga Rama, sidomos n\u00eb drejtimin jug-per\u00ebndim.<\/p>\n

P\u00ebrse kjo ep\u00ebrsi e koalicionit \u201cBerisha\u201d n\u00eb elektoratin verior? P\u00ebrs\u00ebri shpiegimet mund t\u00eb jen\u00eb t\u00eb shumta; t\u00eb karakterit antropologjik, social, ekonomik, politik, etj. \u00a0Por kjo analiz\u00eb do t\u00eb vazhdoj\u00eb t\u00eb fokusohet vet\u00ebm n\u00eb shpiegimet politike.<\/p>\n

Tabela 2<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
Rezultatet zgjedhore siaps Qarqeve, Qershor 2009<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Qarku<\/strong><\/td>\nKoalicioni \u201cRama\u201d<\/strong><\/td>\nKoalicioni \u201cBerisha\u201d<\/strong><\/td>\nDiferenca \u201cRama\u201d-\u201cBerisha\u201d<\/strong><\/td>\nKoalicioni \u201cMeta\u201d<\/strong><\/td>\nKoalicioni \u201cMeksi\u201d<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Kukes<\/td>\n\n

31%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

65%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-34%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

3%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

1%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

Diber<\/td>\n\n

32%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

58%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-26%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

6%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

4%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

Shkoder<\/td>\n\n

35%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

58%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-23%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

3%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

3%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

Lezhe<\/td>\n\n

35%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

54%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-19%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

6%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

3%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

Durres<\/td>\n\n

39%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

52%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-13%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

8%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

1%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

Tirane<\/td>\n\n

46%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

47%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-1%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

5%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

2%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

Elbasan<\/td>\n\n

48%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

45%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

3%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

5%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

2%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

Korce<\/td>\n\n

48%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

47%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

1%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

4%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

1%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

Fier<\/td>\n\n

52%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

40%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

12%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

6%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

2%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

Gjirokaster<\/td>\n\n

56%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

40%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

16%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

3%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

1%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

Vlore<\/td>\n\n

55%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

37%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

18%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

5%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

3%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

Berat<\/td>\n\n

55%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

33%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

21%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

11%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

1%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

Gjithsej Shqiperia<\/td>\n\n

46.9%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

45.3%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

1.6%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

5.6%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

1.8%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

S\u00eb pari, zonat veriore jan\u00eb m\u00eb t\u00eb thyera nga pikpamja e relievit dhe, si rrjedhoj\u00eb, edhe m\u00eb pak t\u00eb kontrollueshme nga opozita p\u00ebr parandalimin e votimit fiktiv. S\u00eb dyti, n\u00eb vitin 2009, pothuaj t\u00eb gjitha komunat dhe qytezat e vogla veriore qeveriseshin nga drejtues lokal\u00eb t\u00eb koalicionit \u201cBerisha\u201d. \u00a0Dhe si\u00e7 u shpiegua m\u00eb lart, ky \u00ebsht\u00eb nj\u00eb faktor i r\u00ebnd\u00ebsish\u00ebm n\u00eb zgjedhjet politike.<\/p>\n

Por sidoqoft\u00eb, p\u00ebr koalicionin e udh\u00ebhequr nga Rama ka nj\u00eb lajm t\u00eb mir\u00eb n\u00eb prag t\u00eb zgjedhjeve t\u00eb 2013-\u00ebs. Aktualisht, dominanca e dikurshme e PD-s\u00eb n\u00eb nj\u00ebsit\u00eb vendore veriore \u00ebsht\u00eb thyer. N\u00eb shum\u00eb komuna e qyteza t\u00eb vogla veri-per\u00ebndimore, por edhe disa veri-lindore ka sot drejtues t\u00eb zgjedhur me votat e koalicionit t\u00eb udh\u00ebhequr nga Rama. Dhe kjo, si\u00e7 u shpiegua m\u00eb sip\u00ebr, mund t\u00eb p\u00ebrkthehet n\u00eb nj\u00eb rezultat m\u00eb t\u00eb mir\u00eb p\u00ebr koalicionin \u201cRama\u201d n\u00eb zgjedhjet e 2013-\u00ebs.<\/p>\n

Sh\u00ebnim: Analiza e m\u00ebsip\u00ebrme \u00ebsht\u00eb bazuar n\u00eb presupozimin se Meta dhe Topi do t\u00eb udh\u00ebheqin secili nga nj\u00eb koalicion t\u00eb vog\u00ebl, q\u00eb do t\u00eb garoj\u00eb ve\u00e7as dy koalicioneve t\u00eb m\u00ebdha n\u00eb zgjedhjet e 2013-\u00ebs. N\u00eb rast t\u00eb kund\u00ebrt, si\u00e7 edhe shifrat n\u00eb tabelat shoq\u00ebruese sinjalizojn\u00eb, analiza duhet b\u00ebr\u00eb nga e para\u2026<\/p>\n

(Botuar fillimisht n\u00eb gazet\u00ebn Dita me titullin \u201cKu humbet dhe ku fiton Berisha<\/em>\u201d)<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Nga Eduard Zaloshnja Nga deklaratat e koh\u00ebve t\u00eb fundit t\u00eb partive t\u00eb vogla, duket se skena paraelektorale e 2013-\u00ebs do t\u2019i ngjaj\u00eb shum\u00eb asaj t\u00eb 2009-\u00ebs. N\u00eb zgjedhjet e 2009-\u00ebs, u fut\u00ebn n\u00eb gar\u00eb dy koalicione t\u00eb m\u00ebdha, t\u00eb udh\u00ebhequra p\u00ebrkat\u00ebsisht nga Berisha e Rama, dhe dy koalicione t\u00eb vogla, t\u00eb udh\u00ebhequra p\u00ebrkat\u00ebsisht nga Meta […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-5693","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","6":"category-artikuj"},"yoast_head":"\nPrognoz\u00eb paraprake p\u00ebr skenarin 4-polar Berisha-Rama-Meta-Topi - FjALA e LIR\u00cb - Arkivi<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/fjala.info\/2009-2015\/prognoze-paraprake-per-skenarin-4-polar-berisha-rama-meta-topi\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"sq_AL\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Prognoz\u00eb paraprake p\u00ebr skenarin 4-polar Berisha-Rama-Meta-Topi - FjALA e LIR\u00cb - Arkivi\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Nga Eduard Zaloshnja Nga deklaratat e koh\u00ebve t\u00eb fundit t\u00eb partive t\u00eb vogla, duket se skena paraelektorale e 2013-\u00ebs do t\u2019i ngjaj\u00eb shum\u00eb asaj t\u00eb 2009-\u00ebs. 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