{"id":2505,"date":"2010-05-07T17:15:31","date_gmt":"2010-05-07T16:15:31","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/fjala.shkoder.net\/?p=2505"},"modified":"2010-05-07T17:15:31","modified_gmt":"2010-05-07T16:15:31","slug":"kriza-greke-qe-po-ndryshon-evropen","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/fjala.info\/2009-2015\/kriza-greke-qe-po-ndryshon-evropen\/","title":{"rendered":"Kriza greke q\u00eb po ndryshon Evrop\u00ebn"},"content":{"rendered":"

\"Adrian<\/p>\n

ADRIAN CIVICI<\/strong>, 06.05.2010<\/em><\/p>\n

Mbas debateve, hezitimeve, frik\u00ebs e propozimeve t\u00eb t\u00eb gjitha llojeve , m\u00eb n\u00eb fund, u arrit q\u00eb t\u00eb gjendej nj\u00eb marr\u00ebveshje \u201crelativisht qet\u00ebsuese\u201d e \u201cgarantuese\u201d, t\u00eb t\u00eb gjitha pal\u00ebve p\u00ebr rrug\u00ebdaljen e kriz\u00ebs greke. Aktor\u00ebt kryesor\u00eb vendimmarr\u00ebs si Komisioni i BE, Banka Qendrore Evropiane, FMN-ja dhe Qeveria greke, m\u00eb n\u00eb fund ran\u00eb dakord p\u00ebr nj\u00eb nga marr\u00ebveshjet m\u00eb t\u00eb v\u00ebshtira, q\u00eb vet\u00eb BE kishte n\u00ebnshkruar ndonj\u00ebher\u00eb. 145 miliard\u00eb euro ndihm\u00eb p\u00ebr Greqin\u00eb n\u00eb tre vitet e ardhshme, 80 miliard\u00eb nga t\u00eb cilat do t\u00eb sigurohen nga vendet partnere t\u00eb zon\u00ebs euro.<\/p>\n

Nga ana e saj, Banka Qendrore Evropiane miratoi plot\u00ebsisht \u201cmasat drastike t\u00eb Qeveris\u00eb greke\u201d, duke n\u00ebnvizuar qart\u00eb se \u201cprogrami i Greqis\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb i kompletuar\u201d dhe masat e parashikuara prej saj \u201cdo t\u00eb ndihmojn\u00eb n\u00eb rivendosjen e besimit dhe shp\u00ebtimin e stabilitetit financiar t\u00eb zon\u00ebs euro\u201d. Tashm\u00eb, me p\u00ebrjashtim t\u00eb grek\u00ebve q\u00eb duhet t\u00eb p\u00ebrballojn\u00eb koston dhe shtr\u00ebngimet e jasht\u00ebzakonshme t\u00eb k\u00ebsaj krize t\u00eb financave t\u00eb tyre, ndoshta p\u00ebr nj\u00eb periudh\u00eb t\u00eb ardhshme 20-30 vje\u00e7are t\u00eb v\u00ebshtir\u00eb, t\u00eb gjith\u00eb t\u00eb tjer\u00ebt po ndjehen disi m\u00eb t\u00eb leht\u00ebsuar.<\/p>\n

Por gjithsesi, ky \u201cleht\u00ebsim\u201d ka akoma mjaft pik\u00ebpyetje brenda tij. A do mundet Greqia t\u00eb dal\u00eb nga kjo situat\u00eb \u201cnormalisht\u201d?, A mjafton vet\u00ebm ky plan shp\u00ebtimi p\u00ebr ta kthyer n\u00eb ekuilib\u00ebr ekonomin\u00eb greke dhe eliminuar pasojat zinxhir t\u00eb efekteve negative t\u00eb saj n\u00eb vende t\u00eb tjera t\u00eb BE-s\u00eb apo t\u00eb Ballkanit?, aq m\u00eb tep\u00ebr q\u00eb p\u00ebr rajonin e Ballkanit, sipas BQE, 2010 pritet t\u00eb jet\u00eb nj\u00eb vit i v\u00ebshtir\u00eb ekonomik e financiar.<\/p>\n

Por, p\u00ebrtej k\u00ebsaj zgjidhje dhe p\u00ebrgjigjeve \u201cin extremis\u201d, zona euro dhe vet\u00eb Bashkimi Evropian duket se po \u201ce lexojn\u00eb\u201d me shum\u00eb v\u00ebmendje \u201cleksionin grek\u201d. Kjo kriz\u00eb dhe m\u00ebsimet e nxjerra prej saj po fillon nj\u00eb start t\u00eb ri p\u00ebr vet\u00eb t\u00eb ardhmen e Evrop\u00ebs, p\u00ebr vendet an\u00ebtare, ato kandidate, apo akoma m\u00eb shum\u00eb, ato n\u00eb proces integrimi, p\u00ebrfshir\u00eb k\u00ebtu edhe Shqip\u00ebrin\u00eb. Periudha e \u201cpost kriz\u00ebs greke\u201d po konsiderohet si themeli i tret\u00eb i r\u00ebnd\u00ebsish\u00ebm n\u00eb impaktin e saj, sikurse futja e monedh\u00ebs s\u00eb p\u00ebrbashk\u00ebt evropiane dhe zgjerimi i BE me vendet e Evrop\u00ebs qendrore dhe lindore.<\/p>\n

Shum\u00eb nga k\u00ebto \u201crregulla t\u00eb reja\u201d do t\u00eb duhet t\u2019i p\u00ebrballoj\u00eb dhe Shqip\u00ebria n\u00eb procesin e saj t\u00eb integrimit n\u00eb BE, apo edhe n\u00eb zon\u00ebn euro, prandaj njohja e mir\u00eb e tyre duhet t\u00eb na sh\u00ebrbej\u00eb si element thelb\u00ebsor i politikave tona ekonomike e financiare n\u00eb muajt e vitet n\u00eb vazhdim, q\u00eb pritet t\u00eb jen\u00eb periudha m\u00eb intensive e integrimit ton\u00eb evropian.<\/p>\n

Konkluzioni i par\u00eb dhe m\u00eb i r\u00ebnd\u00ebsish\u00ebm konsiderohet ai se \u201cp\u00ebr t\u00eb pasur nj\u00eb euro t\u00eb fort\u00eb e t\u00eb q\u00ebndrueshme, BE ka nevoj\u00eb urgjente p\u00ebr nj\u00eb qeverisje ekonomike e financiare unike\u201d. Zgjerimi n\u00eb 27 vende an\u00ebtare nuk u shoq\u00ebrua me forcimin dhe unifikimin e vendimmarrjes n\u00eb politikat ekonomike e financiare, duke i l\u00ebn\u00eb mjaft hap\u00ebsir\u00eb e pavar\u00ebsi vendimeve nacionale.<\/p>\n

Kosto e lart\u00eb e p\u00ebrballimit t\u00eb kriz\u00ebs greke dhe frika e vendeve t\u00eb zon\u00ebs euro se ajo mund t\u00eb p\u00ebrhapet edhe n\u00eb vende t\u00eb tjera si Portugalia, Spanja apo Irlanda e b\u00ebri m\u00eb se evident faktin se duhen gjetur urgjentisht mekanizma, e vendosur rregulla t\u00eb ashpra komunitare, q\u00eb \u201casnj\u00eb vend t\u00eb mos ket\u00eb mund\u00ebsi q\u00eb t\u00eb tentohet e t\u00eb aplikoj\u00eb politika ekonomike populiste apo t\u00eb disproporcionuara n\u00eb raport me mund\u00ebsit\u00eb e tij ekonomike\u201d. Kjo k\u00ebrkes\u00eb u konkretizua nga Kancelarja gjermane Merkel, q\u00eb k\u00ebrkon \u201cvendosjen e rregullave t\u00eb reja p\u00ebr eurolandin\u201d, p\u00ebr t\u00eb qen\u00eb plot\u00ebsisht t\u00eb garantuar n\u00eb t\u00eb ardhmen nga shfaqja e k\u00ebtyre lloj krizash.<\/p>\n

Evropa po k\u00ebrkon me urgjenc\u00eb q\u00eb t\u00eb rishikoj\u00eb dhe forcoj\u00eb \u201cpaktin e stabilitetit\u201d, i cili u tregua inefektiv n\u00eb rastin e kriz\u00ebs greke. P\u00ebrse u lejua Greqia apo dhe vende t\u00eb tjera t\u00eb zon\u00ebs euro dhe BE-s\u00eb, q\u00eb t\u00eb ken\u00eb deficite publike n\u00eb nivelet 12-13% n\u00eb raport me PBB, apo borxh publik m\u00eb t\u00eb lart\u00eb s\u00eb 100%\/PBB, kur kriteret e paktit t\u00eb stabilitetit i kufizojn\u00eb k\u00ebto n\u00eb 3% dhe 60%? K\u00ebtu pritet t\u00eb ndodh\u00eb edhe ndryshimi i madh.<\/p>\n

Propozimet jan\u00eb t\u00eb shumta, duke filluar me k\u00ebrkes\u00ebn e Gjermanis\u00eb p\u00ebr ngritjen e nj\u00eb \u201cagjencie evropiane t\u00eb vler\u00ebsimit financiar\u201d q\u00eb do punoj\u00eb vet\u00ebm p\u00ebr llogari t\u00eb \u201cpaktit t\u00eb stabilitetit\u201d dhe Komisionit Evropian. S\u00eb dyti, k\u00ebrkohet q\u00eb t\u00eb shtohen rregullat e supervizionit dhe rregullimit t\u00eb tregjeve financiare n\u00eb Evrop\u00eb, duke shtuar dhe ashp\u00ebrsuar sanksionet ndaj \u201cnx\u00ebn\u00ebsve t\u00eb k\u00ebqij\u201d, duke arritur deri n\u00eb nj\u00eb nd\u00ebrprerje t\u00eb s\u00eb drejt\u00ebs s\u00eb vot\u00ebs n\u00eb K\u00ebshillin e Ministrave t\u00eb BE-s\u00eb apo si\u00e7 propozon Gjermania, \u201cedhe nj\u00eb p\u00ebrjashtim t\u00eb mundsh\u00ebm nga monedha euro\u201d.<\/p>\n

Ka ardhur koha q\u00eb t\u00eb vendosen rregulla m\u00eb t\u00eb qarta dhe t\u00eb rrepta p\u00ebr vendet q\u00eb hyjn\u00eb n\u00eb zon\u00ebn euro, t\u00eb cilat ashtu si\u00e7 do t\u00eb p\u00ebrfitojn\u00eb nga hyrja n\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb zon\u00eb, po ashtu duhet t\u00eb jen\u00eb n\u00eb gjendje t\u00eb respektojn\u00eb detyrimet e t\u00eb qenit an\u00ebtar t\u00eb saj. Rregullat e grupit nuk duhet lejuar n\u00eb asnj\u00eb rast q\u00eb t\u00eb shkelen, qoft\u00eb kjo me q\u00ebllim qoft\u00eb si pasoj\u00eb e munges\u00ebs s\u00eb legjislacionit p\u00ebrkat\u00ebs.<\/p>\n

S\u00eb treti, po k\u00ebrkohet \u201cvendosja e mekanizmave t\u00eb zbulimit t\u00eb simptomave negative dhe dh\u00ebnies s\u00eb alarmit p\u00ebr vendet problematike\u201d. E gjith\u00eb kjo mendohet se duhet shoq\u00ebruar dhe me nj\u00eb politik\u00eb t\u00eb re evropiane \u201cp\u00ebr zvog\u00eblimin e diferencave ekonomike e financiare nd\u00ebrmjet vendeve an\u00ebtare\u201d. P\u00ebr k\u00ebt\u00eb propozohet q\u00eb \u201cforcimi i qeverisjes ekonomike evropiane t\u00eb shoq\u00ebrohet me nj\u00eb shtrirje t\u00eb objektivave dhe masave t\u00eb paktit t\u00eb stabilitetit edhe n\u00eb fush\u00ebn e politikave dhe reformave strukturore\u201d, sepse \u00ebsht\u00eb pik\u00ebrisht mungesa e k\u00ebtyre reformave, arsyeja thelb\u00ebsore e nivelit t\u00eb ul\u00ebt t\u00eb rritjes ekonomike n\u00eb mjaft vende an\u00ebtare apo kandidate t\u00eb BE-s\u00eb. P\u00ebr k\u00ebt\u00eb k\u00ebrkohet q\u00eb t\u00eb stimulohen gjithnj\u00eb e m\u00eb shum\u00eb edhe nj\u00eb kategori tjet\u00ebr lider\u00ebsh e politikan\u00ebsh n\u00eb vendet evropiane: udh\u00ebheq\u00ebs me ambicie e formim sa m\u00eb t\u00eb gjer\u00eb komunitar, dhe jo thjesht udh\u00ebheq\u00ebs t\u00eb mir\u00eb nacional\u00eb.<\/p>\n

Nj\u00eb drejtim tjet\u00ebr i r\u00ebnd\u00ebsish\u00ebm ndryshimesh, q\u00eb n\u00eb vetvete paraqet nj\u00eb revolucion n\u00eb menaxhimin e financave publike, \u00ebsht\u00eb propozimi p\u00ebr t\u00eb \u201cforcuar kontrollin multilateral t\u00eb buxheteve dhe financave publike t\u00eb vendeve an\u00ebtare\u201d. E th\u00ebn\u00eb me terma m\u00eb teknik\u00eb, kjo n\u00ebnkupton krijimin e ligjeve dhe institucioneve q\u00eb do b\u00ebjn\u00eb t\u00eb mundur aprovimin reciprok t\u00eb buxheteve nacionale nga ana e t\u00eb gjith\u00eb vendeve an\u00ebtare, p\u00ebrpara se ato t\u00eb aprovohen nga Parlamentet e \u00e7do vendi. Me fjal\u00eb t\u00eb tjera, Evropa duket se po shkon drejt krijimit t\u00eb nj\u00eb \u201cFondi Monetar Evropian\u201d si nj\u00eb instrument shum\u00eb i p\u00ebrshtatsh\u00ebm p\u00ebr parandalimin apo menaxhimin e krizave t\u00eb mundshme financiare n\u00eb gjirin e saj. Mendohet se ky fond do t\u00eb ket\u00eb n\u00eb dispozicion mbi 2000 miliard\u00eb euro, p\u00ebr t\u00eb arritur q\u00eb ta luaj\u00eb cil\u00ebsisht rolin e tij.<\/p>\n

Kriza greke hapi dhe nj\u00eb debat tjet\u00ebr t\u00eb madh. Si mund t\u00eb minimizohet fakti q\u00eb shtete t\u00eb fuqishme t\u00eb BE-s\u00eb, si Gjermania apo Franca, q\u00eb presupozohet se duhet ta ndihmojn\u00eb Greqin\u00eb, n\u00eb fakt po p\u00ebrfitojn\u00eb prej situat\u00ebs s\u00eb v\u00ebshtir\u00eb t\u00eb saj?<\/p>\n

Nd\u00ebrkoh\u00eb q\u00eb p\u00ebrqindjet e interesit p\u00ebr borxhin grek po kapin majat, p\u00ebrqindjet e interesit p\u00ebr bonot e thesarit gjermane apo franceze po ulen ndjesh\u00ebm, duke ja b\u00ebr\u00eb shum\u00eb t\u00eb lir\u00eb borxhin publik k\u00ebtyre vendeve. Logjika e nj\u00eb veprimi t\u00eb till\u00eb nga fondet e investimeve \u00ebsht\u00eb e qart\u00eb: sa m\u00eb e komplikuar b\u00ebhet situata n\u00eb Greqi, apo sa m\u00eb tep\u00ebr ulet nota e vler\u00ebsimit t\u00eb ekonomis\u00eb dhe financave greke nga agjencit\u00eb e specializuara nd\u00ebrkomb\u00ebtare, aq m\u00eb tep\u00ebr investuesit orientohen drejt tregjeve t\u00eb sigurta gjermane e franceze, dhe aq m\u00eb shum\u00eb ngren\u00eb normat e interesit p\u00ebr eurobondet greke. N\u00eb gjuh\u00ebn financiare, kjo quhet \u201crendje e likuiditeteve drejt cil\u00ebsis\u00eb\u201d dhe konsiderohet si nj\u00eb veprim normal.<\/p>\n

N\u00eb tregjet financiare duket se po mbizot\u00ebron mendimi se metoda e p\u00ebrdorur p\u00ebr shp\u00ebtimin e Greqis\u00eb, metod\u00eb e stilit dhe praktikave tipike t\u00eb FMN-s\u00eb, ku mbizot\u00ebron filozofia e shkurtimit drastik t\u00eb shpenzimeve publike, mund ta fus\u00eb Greqin\u00eb n\u00eb nj\u00eb spirale recepsioniste, q\u00eb mund t\u00eb zgjas\u00eb gjat\u00eb n\u00eb vite. Greqis\u00eb po i k\u00ebrkohet sot t\u00eb b\u00ebj\u00eb at\u00eb q\u00eb b\u00ebri Amerika Latine n\u00eb vitet 80-t\u00eb t\u00eb shek.XX-t\u00eb, masa q\u00eb v\u00ebrtet e nxor\u00ebn nga kriza financiare, por q\u00eb i kushtuan m\u00eb shum\u00eb se nj\u00eb dekad\u00eb stanjacion apo dhe recesion ekonomik.
\nN\u00eb k\u00ebndv\u00ebshtrimin e k\u00ebtij mekanizmi duhet par\u00eb dhe \u00e7\u00ebshtja e v\u00ebshtir\u00ebsive q\u00eb lidhen me eurobondin shqiptar.<\/p>\n

Kriza greke krijoi nj\u00eb panik t\u00eb paprecedent n\u00eb tregjet financiare dhe shprehje t\u00eb tipit \u201ckujdes me investimet\u201d, \u201cmos investo\u201d, etj., dominuan k\u00ebto tregje. N\u00eb k\u00ebto dit\u00eb duket se \u00ebsht\u00eb shum\u00eb e v\u00ebshtir\u00eb t\u00eb dal\u00ebsh n\u00eb tregun e eurobondeve, po aq sa \u00ebsht\u00eb pothuajse e sigurt q\u00eb normat e interesit jan\u00eb m\u00eb t\u00eb larta se mesatarja e tyre n\u00eb koh\u00eb normale. Kjo gjendje me siguri q\u00eb mund ta shtyj\u00eb n\u00eb koh\u00eb thithjen e borxhit t\u00eb supozuar prej 400 milion\u00eb eurosh nga Shqip\u00ebria, por, m\u00eb e r\u00ebnd\u00ebsishme se kjo, jan\u00eb sinjalet q\u00eb vijn\u00eb nga ekonomia dhe financat shqiptare.<\/p>\n

Kompania vler\u00ebsuese \u201cMoody\u2019s\u201d e etiketoi borxhin shqiptar n\u00eb nivelin cil\u00ebsor B1, nd\u00ebrsa disa dit\u00eb m\u00eb von\u00eb, agjencia tjet\u00ebr \u201cStandard & Poor\u2019s\u201d e vler\u00ebsoi at\u00eb me not\u00ebn B+, q\u00eb jan\u00eb pak a shum\u00eb i nj\u00ebjti nivel vler\u00ebsimi, i cili n\u00ebnkupton nj\u00eb investim n\u00eb ambient me elemente t\u00eb evidentueshme risku. N\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb aspekt, p\u00ebr Shqip\u00ebrin\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb thelb\u00ebsore q\u00eb n\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb interval kohe, deri sa tregjet financiare t\u00eb \u201cqet\u00ebsohen\u201d dhe frika e kriz\u00ebs greke t\u00eb ket\u00eb kaluar, t\u00eb p\u00ebrpiqemi ta p\u00ebrmir\u00ebsojm\u00eb sa mundemi imazhin dhe p\u00ebrmbajtjen e disa nga treguesve m\u00eb t\u00eb r\u00ebnd\u00ebsish\u00ebm makroekonomik\u00eb e financiar\u00eb t\u00eb vendit.<\/p>\n

Duhet t\u00eb d\u00ebshmojm\u00eb se reformat tona strukturore dhe p\u00ebrmir\u00ebsimi i indikator\u00ebve makroekonomik\u00eb jan\u00eb nj\u00eb politik\u00eb e q\u00ebndrueshme afat-gjat\u00eb. N\u00ebse ekonomia apo financat tona \u201cnxihen\u201d vazhdimisht apo \u201clustrohen\u201d thjesht dhe vet\u00ebm n\u00eb funksion t\u00eb konjukturave e rivalitetit politik, ai q\u00eb \u201crritet\u201d mund t\u00eb jet\u00eb vet\u00ebm interesi i borxhit t\u00eb eurobonove apo nj\u00eb vones\u00eb akoma m\u00eb e madhe n\u00eb sigurimin e tyre.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

ADRIAN CIVICI, 06.05.2010 Mbas debateve, hezitimeve, frik\u00ebs e propozimeve t\u00eb t\u00eb gjitha llojeve , m\u00eb n\u00eb fund, u arrit q\u00eb t\u00eb gjendej nj\u00eb marr\u00ebveshje \u201crelativisht qet\u00ebsuese\u201d e \u201cgarantuese\u201d, t\u00eb t\u00eb gjitha pal\u00ebve p\u00ebr rrug\u00ebdaljen e kriz\u00ebs greke. Aktor\u00ebt kryesor\u00eb vendimmarr\u00ebs si Komisioni i BE, Banka Qendrore Evropiane, FMN-ja dhe Qeveria greke, m\u00eb n\u00eb fund ran\u00eb […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-2505","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","6":"category-artikuj"},"yoast_head":"\nKriza greke q\u00eb po ndryshon Evrop\u00ebn - FjALA e LIR\u00cb - Arkivi<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/fjala.info\/2009-2015\/kriza-greke-qe-po-ndryshon-evropen\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"sq_AL\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Kriza greke q\u00eb po ndryshon Evrop\u00ebn - FjALA e LIR\u00cb - Arkivi\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"ADRIAN CIVICI, 06.05.2010 Mbas debateve, hezitimeve, frik\u00ebs e propozimeve t\u00eb t\u00eb gjitha llojeve , m\u00eb n\u00eb fund, u arrit q\u00eb t\u00eb gjendej nj\u00eb marr\u00ebveshje \u201crelativisht qet\u00ebsuese\u201d e \u201cgarantuese\u201d, t\u00eb t\u00eb gjitha pal\u00ebve p\u00ebr rrug\u00ebdaljen e kriz\u00ebs greke. 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