{"id":1736,"date":"2010-03-02T00:12:30","date_gmt":"2010-03-01T23:12:30","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/fjala.shkoder.net\/?p=1736"},"modified":"2010-03-02T00:12:30","modified_gmt":"2010-03-01T23:12:30","slug":"sindroma-e-autizmit-qeveritar-dhe-kriza-shqiptare","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/fjala.info\/2009-2015\/sindroma-e-autizmit-qeveritar-dhe-kriza-shqiptare\/","title":{"rendered":"Sindroma e autizmit qeveritar dhe kriza shqiptare"},"content":{"rendered":"

Ermelinda Meksi<\/strong><\/p>\n

Analiza e kriz\u00ebs ekonomiko-financiare, p\u00ebr t\u00eb nxjerr\u00eb m\u00ebsime p\u00ebr t\u00eb ardhmen, sot nuk ka p\u00ebrfshir\u00eb vet\u00ebm financier\u00ebt dhe analist\u00ebt e ekonomis\u00eb, por edhe psikolog\u00ebt. Ata koh\u00ebt e fundit kan\u00eb shtruar pyetjen? A mos u shkaktua kriza e fundit ekonomike nga njer\u00ebz q\u00eb nd\u00ebr karakteristikat e tyre kryesore kishin edhe nj\u00eb form\u00eb t\u00eb but\u00eb t\u00eb autizmit, ose t\u00eb sindrom\u00ebs Aspoerger?<\/p>\n

Njer\u00ebzit me k\u00ebt\u00eb sindrom\u00eb karakterizohen, ve\u00e7 t\u00eb tjerash edhe nga mungesa e aft\u00ebsis\u00eb p\u00ebr t\u00eb kuptuar diversitetin e njer\u00ebzve t\u00eb tjer\u00eb, sepse ata kan\u00eb besime dhe pika referimi t\u00eb ndryshme nga tonat. Sipas psikolog\u00ebve, nj\u00eb munges\u00eb e till\u00eb, e v\u00ebn\u00eb re te nj\u00eb num\u00ebr njer\u00ebzish me pozicione shum\u00eb t\u00eb r\u00ebnd\u00ebsishme vendimmarr\u00ebse, mund t\u00eb ket\u00eb shkaktuar nj\u00eb pjes\u00eb t\u00eb kriz\u00ebs, sepse persona t\u00eb till\u00eb nuk arrijn\u00eb dot t\u00eb t\u00eb konceptojn\u00eb me mendjen e tyre opinionet e ndryshme.<\/p>\n

Para kriz\u00ebs k\u00ebta njer\u00ebz pat\u00ebn nj\u00eb refuzim t\u00eb p\u00ebrgjithsh\u00ebm p\u00ebr t\u00eb pranuar qoft\u00eb edhe nj\u00eb mund\u00ebsi t\u00eb vog\u00ebl t\u00eb gabimeve t\u00eb sistemit financiar, apo qoft\u00eb edhe t\u00eb t\u00eb dh\u00ebnave t\u00eb tij. Nuk jan\u00eb p\u00ebr t\u2019u harruar sigurit\u00eb q\u00eb dhan\u00eb bankier\u00ebt para kriz\u00ebs p\u00ebr fuqin\u00eb dhe gjendjen e mir\u00eb t\u00eb sistemit financiar dhe atij bankar.<\/p>\n

Familjar\u00ebt e personave q\u00eb vuajn\u00eb nga nj\u00eb simptom\u00eb e till\u00eb e din\u00eb fare mir\u00eb se, k\u00ebta njer\u00ebz jan\u00eb shum\u00eb t\u00eb dh\u00ebn\u00eb pas t\u00eb dh\u00ebnave dhe modeleve t\u00eb caktuara dhe manifestojn\u00eb vazhdimisht nj\u00eb munges\u00eb vullneti p\u00ebr t\u2019u p\u00ebrfshir\u00eb n\u00eb parjen e t\u00eb gjith\u00eb situat\u00ebs, por vet\u00ebm t\u00eb nj\u00eb segmenti t\u00eb saj. Sipas analizave t\u00eb psikolog\u00ebve rezulton se tipare t\u00eb t\u00eb s\u00ebmur\u00ebve me simptom\u00ebn Asperger, ngjasojn\u00eb shum\u00eb me simptomat e vet\u00eb sistemit financiar dhe bankar n\u00eb vitin 2007. Vet\u00ebm k\u00ebshtu shpjegohet nj\u00eb sistem i t\u00ebr\u00eb financiar q\u00eb refuzoi t\u00eb shihte at\u00eb q\u00eb po ndodhte, pra rrokullim\u00ebn drejt gremin\u00ebs e q\u00eb \u00e7\u2019\u00ebsht\u00eb m\u00eb e keqja vazhdon t\u00eb mos shoh\u00eb edhe sot at\u00eb q\u00eb duhet ndryshuar rr\u00ebnj\u00ebsisht.\u2019<\/p>\n

Duke lexuar sa m\u00eb sip\u00ebr n\u00ebp\u00ebrmjet shtypit u befasova nga ngjashm\u00ebria e k\u00ebsaj dukurie n\u00eb Shqip\u00ebri, ku prej koh\u00ebsh me gjith\u00eb paralajm\u00ebrimet, veprimet e propaganda qeveris\u00eb shqiptare dhe kasnec\u00ebve t\u00eb saj n\u00eb \u00e7\u00ebshtjet ekonomike m\u00eb linin pa fjal\u00eb. Prandaj kam besuar gjithmon\u00eb se z\u00ebri i politik\u00ebs nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb i besuesh\u00ebm n\u00ebse nuk argumenton profesionalisht alternativat politike q\u00eb orientojn\u00eb q\u00ebndrimin q\u00eb duhet mbajtur ndaj shenjave t\u00eb dukshme t\u00eb zhvillimit t\u00eb k\u00ebsaj ose asaj dukurie.<\/p>\n

Sindroma e autizmit dhe qeveria shqiptare
\nKur n\u00eb tetor t\u00eb vitit t\u00eb kaluar(2008) paralajm\u00ebruam shfaqjen e simptomave t\u00eb para t\u00eb efekteve t\u00eb kriz\u00ebs financiare nd\u00ebrkomb\u00ebtare n\u00eb Shqip\u00ebri si: r\u00ebnia e d\u00ebrgesa t\u00eb emigrant\u00ebve, depozitave, rrudhja e kredis\u00eb si pasoj\u00eb e tyre, po k\u00ebshtu dhe r\u00ebnia e importeve, eksporteve etj., qeveria refuzoi ta shihte k\u00ebt\u00eb realitet, p\u00ebrkundrazi quante arritje historike, rritjen e t\u00eb ardhurave doganore, q\u00eb sipas nesh vinte kryesisht si rrjedhoj\u00eb e rritjes s\u00eb \u00e7mimeve t\u00eb karburanteve drith\u00ebrave HYPERLINK “http:\/\/etj.ne\/” \\t “_blan” etj. ne tregun nd\u00ebrkomb\u00ebtar. N\u00eb at\u00eb koh\u00eb paralajm\u00ebruam se n\u00eb kushtet e kriz\u00ebs globale ky realitet fiktiv nuk do jet\u00eb si m\u00eb par\u00eb dhe sugjeruam kujdes e m\u00eb pak eufori me shifrat e arritjeve, n\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00eb q\u00eb programimi i rritjes s\u00eb PPB t\u00eb ishte real. Por ky vizion u refuzua nga Kryeministri dhe vart\u00ebsit e tij q\u00eb mbrojt\u00ebn me kok\u00ebfort\u00ebsi argumentin e paprekshm\u00ebris\u00eb s\u00eb Shqip\u00ebris\u00eb nga kriza globale, si pasoj\u00eb e vitalitetit t\u00eb saj me q\u00ebllim p\u00ebr t\u00eb justifikuar k\u00ebshtu me djall\u00ebzi shpenzimet marramend\u00ebse buxhetore n\u00eb nj\u00eb vit elektoral si 2009. Nd\u00ebrkaq, opozita dhe institucionet nd\u00ebrkomb\u00ebtare si FMN etj., deklaronin se Shqip\u00ebria nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb e paprekshme nga kriza. N\u00eb k\u00ebto kushte debati p\u00ebr rritjen ekonomike t\u00eb Shqip\u00ebris\u00eb u shfaq me diferenca n\u00eb q\u00ebndrime. Nga nj\u00ebra ana qeveria q\u00eb insistonte p\u00ebr nj\u00eb rritje t\u00eb PPB prej 6% dhe nga ana tjet\u00ebr, opozita dhe institucionet nd\u00ebrkomb\u00ebtare si FMN etj., q\u00eb t\u00ebrhoq\u00ebn v\u00ebmendjen p\u00ebr kujdes e maturi n\u00eb programimin e k\u00ebtij treguesi dhe atij t\u00eb shpenzimeve t\u00eb vitit 2009 si vit elektoral. Kjo k\u00ebrkese p\u00ebr maturi buronte nga kujdesi p\u00ebr t\u00eb ruajtur ekuilibrat makroekonomik\u00eb. T\u00eb gjitha parashikimet e konsideronin t\u00eb pamundur rritjen euforike t\u00eb programuar nga qeveria, q\u00eb nuk jepte garanci p\u00ebr t\u00eb realizuar t\u00eb ardhurat e programuara. Ne paralajm\u00ebruam n\u00eb k\u00ebto kushte rrezikun e cenimit t\u00eb ekuilibrave makroekonomik\u00eb si rezultat i shpenzimeve t\u00eb larta buxhetore, po p\u00ebrs\u00ebri qeveria autiste refuzoi t\u00eb d\u00ebgjoj\u00eb.
\nK\u00ebrkesa jon\u00eb p\u00ebr maturi n\u00eb llogaritjen e rritjes ekonomike, t\u00eb ardhurave dhe shpenzimeve lidhej me parashikimin se:<\/p>\n

1. Rritja e eksporteve pritej t\u00eb ngadal\u00ebsohej, d\u00ebrgesat e emigrant\u00ebve do t\u00eb ndikohen dhe investitor\u00ebt mund t\u00eb rivler\u00ebsonin rreziqet si rezultat i ndikimit t\u00eb kriz\u00ebs edhe n\u00eb Shqip\u00ebri, duke ulur volumin tregtar, pas nj\u00eb viti realiteti v\u00ebrtetoi gjith\u00eb sa kemi th\u00ebn\u00eb e parashikuar me realiz\u00ebm gjat\u00eb k\u00ebsaj kohe.<\/p>\n

2. Gjat\u00eb 2009-\u00ebs kreditimi u b\u00eb m\u00eb i rrall\u00eb dhe m\u00eb i shtrenjt\u00eb duke sjell\u00eb r\u00ebnie t\u00eb ritmit t\u00eb rritjes ekonomike, t\u00eb zhvillimit t\u00eb biznesit dhe p\u00ebr rrjedhoj\u00eb dhe t\u00eb t\u00eb ardhurave buxhetore<\/p>\n

3. Me gjith\u00eb k\u00ebshill\u00ebn e FMN, opozit\u00ebs dhe t\u00eb BSH p\u00ebr uljen e shpenzimeve q\u00eb n\u00eb kushtet e m\u00ebsip\u00ebrme do t\u00eb ruante lekun nga zhvler\u00ebsimi, qeveria shqiptare \u00ebsht\u00eb nga t\u00eb paktat vende q\u00eb nuk e pranoi t\u00eb b\u00ebnte uljen e shpenzimeve, p\u00ebr shkak se vendi gjendej para zgjedhjeve. Shpenzimet buxhetore dhe deficiti buxhetor u rrit\u00ebn edhe m\u00eb shum\u00eb se viti 2008, n\u00eb vend q\u00eb t\u00eb mbaheshin n\u00eb kontroll n\u00eb nj\u00eb vit si 2009, q\u00eb mbarte efektet e kriz\u00ebs, nj\u00eb vit normal kur kriza n\u00eb Shqip\u00ebri nuk kishte filluar t\u00eb jepte efekt. Kjo situat\u00eb ka sjell\u00eb rritjen galopante t\u00eb borxhit publik dhe sidomos kostos s\u00eb sh\u00ebrbimit t\u00eb tij q\u00eb p\u00ebr 2009 n\u00eb rreth 42 miliard\u00eb lek\u00eb, shif\u00ebr kjo tep\u00ebr e lart\u00eb p\u00ebr ekonomin\u00eb ton\u00eb.<\/p>\n

4. Shpenzimet e tep\u00ebrta elektorale t\u00eb qeveris\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb vit \u00e7uan n\u00eb rritje t\u00eb importeve dhe deficitit t\u00eb llogaris\u00eb korrente ky deficit \u00ebsht\u00eb thelluar m\u00eb tej i ndikuar kryesisht nga ngadal\u00ebsimi i remitancave dhe r\u00ebnia e shpejt\u00eb e eksporteve p\u00ebr k\u00ebt\u00eb vit. Kjo \u00ebsht\u00eb shoq\u00ebruar me r\u00ebnien e vler\u00ebs s\u00eb monedh\u00ebs vendase.
\nPra, kur qeveria shpenzon me tepri lek\u00eb, kjo rrit presionin mbi monedh\u00ebn komb\u00ebtare n\u00eb nj\u00eb ekonomi t\u00eb orientuar nga importi. N\u00eb k\u00ebto kushte ila\u00e7i i vet\u00ebm do ishte ulja e shpenzimeve buxhetore.<\/p>\n

5. P\u00ebr sa i p\u00ebrket pun\u00ebsimit statistikat flasin p\u00ebr ulje t\u00eb pun\u00ebsimit p\u00ebr vitin 2009. N\u00eb vend t\u00eb premtimeve elektorale t\u00eb LSI p\u00ebr 30 mij\u00eb apo t\u00eb PD 40 mij\u00eb vendeve t\u00eb reja pune (ose respektivisht 120 dhe 160 mij\u00eb n\u00eb kat\u00ebr vjet)
\nKjo situat\u00eb shpreh qart\u00eb se si qeveria shqiptare i refuzoi t\u00eb shihte at\u00eb q\u00eb po ndodhte, duke shtyr\u00eb ekonomin\u00eb e vendit, si pasoj\u00eb e sindrom\u00ebs s\u00eb saj autiste n\u00eb rrokullim\u00ebn e gremin\u00ebs s\u00eb borxheve q\u00eb \u00e7\u2019\u00ebsht\u00eb m\u00eb e keqja vazhdon t\u00eb mos shoh\u00eb edhe sot at\u00eb q\u00eb duhet ndryshuar rr\u00ebnj\u00ebsisht.<\/p>\n

Mosrealizimet buxhetore n\u00eb 2009
\nAnaliza e treguesve t\u00eb buxhetit t\u00eb 2009 p\u00ebrg\u00ebnjeshtron demagogjin\u00eb e asaj q\u00eb i \u00ebsht\u00eb servirur deri tani opinionit publik, p\u00ebr realizime spektakolare n\u00eb ekonomi. Kjo analiz\u00eb p\u00ebrkundrazi zbulon mosrealizim n\u00eb t\u00eb gjith\u00eb treguesit e planifikuar n\u00eb buxhetin e shtetit p\u00ebr 2009, megjith\u00ebse ai u korrigjua dy her\u00eb brenda vitit. Ky mosrealizim ndodhi, edhe pas sugjerimit ton\u00eb, q\u00eb t\u00eb pakt\u00ebn buxhetin e korrigjuar nga qeveria n\u00eb dhjetor, para se t\u00eb aprovohej n\u00eb Parlament n\u00eb fund t\u00eb janarit 2010, (pra nj\u00eb muaj pasi viti 2009 kishte p\u00ebrfunduar), t\u00eb korrigjohej sakt\u00eb, duke pranuar realitetin p\u00ebr t\u00eb respektuar disiplin\u00ebn fiskale buxhetore qoft\u00eb dhe me kaq vones\u00eb formalisht. Por qeveria autiste p\u00ebrs\u00ebri nuk na d\u00ebgjoi, duke e kthyer tashm\u00eb n\u00eb rutin\u00eb mosrespektimin e ligjit t\u00eb buxhetit dhe t\u00eb disiplin\u00ebs buxhetore. Nd\u00ebrkaq, t\u00eb gjith\u00eb treguesit ekonomiko-fiskal\u00eb t\u00eb 2009 kundrejt nj\u00eb viti m\u00eb par\u00eb kan\u00eb nj\u00eb p\u00ebrkeq\u00ebsim t\u00eb tendencave t\u00eb v\u00ebrejtura m\u00eb par\u00eb duke v\u00ebrtetuar tashm\u00eb t\u00eb gjitha shqet\u00ebsimet e shprehura nga opozita dhe institucionet nd\u00ebrkomb\u00ebtare prej m\u00eb se nj\u00eb viti. Treguesit e buxhetit 2009 rezultojn\u00eb me mosrealizime t\u00eb ndjeshme jo vet\u00ebm kundrejt buxhetit fillestar, por edhe kundrejt buxhetit t\u00eb korrigjuar n\u00eb aktin e fundit normativ t\u00eb aprovuar n\u00eb Parlament m\u00eb 28 janar. Nd\u00ebrsa duke krahasuar me vitin e kaluar, treguesit e t\u00eb ardhurave buxhetore n\u00eb vitin 2009 flasin hapur p\u00ebr ngadal\u00ebsim t\u00eb rritjes deri n\u00eb stanjacion t\u00eb saj, si dhe p\u00ebr shenja t\u00eb plota t\u00eb r\u00ebnies ekonomike n\u00eb tremujorin e fundit. Konkretisht: nd\u00ebrsa rritja e \u00e7mimeve ndaj vitit t\u00eb kaluar ka qen\u00eb 2,4%, rritja e t\u00eb ardhurave buxhetore q\u00eb vet\u00ebm 2,7%, pra rritja reale vet\u00ebm 0,3%, nd\u00ebrsa t\u00eb ardhurat tatimore u rrit\u00ebn 2.5%, kurse tatime dhe dogana 1.8%, pra ato n\u00eb realitet kan\u00eb mbetur n\u00eb vend ose nuk jan\u00eb rritur kundrejt 2008, p\u00ebrkundrazi kan\u00eb pasur r\u00ebnie sidomos t\u00eb ardhurat nga tatimet dhe doganat, q\u00eb p\u00ebrfshijn\u00eb TVSH, akcizat etj. T\u00eb ardhura q\u00eb shprehin direkt aktivitetin ekonomik t\u00eb biznesit privat. Rritja e t\u00eb ardhurave ka qen\u00eb mbi 3 her\u00eb m\u00eb e ul\u00ebt se rritja e shpenzimeve buxhetore, t\u00eb cilat u rrit\u00ebn 8,2% ku brenda tyre rritja e shpenzimeve korrente qe 12,9%, duke kap\u00ebrcyer shum\u00eb investimet, q\u00eb n\u00eb 2009 u rrit\u00ebn 4% shoq\u00ebruar me mang\u00ebsi administrative. Kjo u reflektua ve\u00e7an\u00ebrisht n\u00eb aritmin\u00eb shqet\u00ebsuese elektorale p\u00ebr kryerjen e investimeve duke rritur ndjesh\u00ebm nivelin e deficitit buxhetor dhe koston e sh\u00ebrbimit t\u00eb borxhit.<\/p>\n

Blofi me rritjen ekonomike
\nN\u00eb vitin 2009, kjo rritje nuk ka mundur t\u00eb realizoj\u00eb objektivin qeveritar prej 5-6 p\u00ebr qind, apo nj\u00eb rritje spektakolare si\u00e7 i p\u00eblqen t\u00eb thot\u00eb Kryeministri, i cili nga miopia apo ndoshta padija rritjen e \u00e7mimeve e shet p\u00ebr rritje ekonomike, apo m\u00eb keq si\u00e7 b\u00ebri dit\u00eb m\u00eb par\u00eb kur lexoi kuturu shifrat p\u00ebr Shqip\u00ebrin\u00eb t\u00eb nj\u00eb banke europiane. Megjith\u00ebse akoma INSTAT nuk na ka fabrikuar ndonj\u00eb shif\u00ebr t\u00eb PPB p\u00ebr 2009, ka mjaft t\u00eb dh\u00ebna indirekte (si ato t\u00eb rritjes s\u00eb t\u00eb ardhurave, r\u00ebnia e volumit tregtar, shitjeve me pakic\u00eb etj.) q\u00eb d\u00ebshmojn\u00eb rezerv\u00ebn ton\u00eb t\u00eb shprehur prej nj\u00eb viti q\u00eb rritja ekonomike nuk do kalonte parashikimin e saj nga FMN.<\/p>\n

Rritja ekonomike gjat\u00eb vitit t\u00eb kaluar rezulton n\u00eb nivele minimale me pak se 1% ose aq sa e ka parashikuar FMN n\u00eb prill n\u00eb nivelet 0.4-1. N\u00eb t\u00eb kund\u00ebrt, qeveria duhet t\u00eb jap\u00eb shpjegime pse nuk jan\u00eb rritur t\u00eb ardhurat, t\u00eb jap\u00eb shpjegime lidhur me nivelin e informalitetit dhe korrupsionin fiskal, i cili duhet t\u00eb jet\u00eb shum\u00eb i lart\u00eb n\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb rast dhe flet p\u00ebr munges\u00eb reale reformash dhe efekt negativ t\u00eb masave t\u00eb marra.<\/p>\n

Cikli politik i buxhetit si keqqeverisje
\nAnaliza e t\u00eb dh\u00ebnave faktike t\u00eb buxhetit t\u00eb 2009, shfaq nj\u00eb fiasko t\u00eb plot\u00eb t\u00eb buxhetit dhe e pretendimeve qeveritare p\u00ebr luft\u00ebn kund\u00ebr korrupsionit apo evazionit, megjith\u00ebse ai u korrigjua dy her\u00eb n\u00eb drejtim t\u00eb uljes s\u00eb t\u00eb ardhurave gjat\u00eb vitit nga qeveria. Kjo situat\u00eb quhet keqqeverisje, e cila b\u00ebhet me evidente, nga aritmia buxhetore gjate vitit elektoral 2009.<\/p>\n

Duke analizuar treguesit e buxhetit t\u00eb vitit 2009 kundrejt 2008, analize q\u00eb detajohet p\u00ebr \u00e7do gjasht\u00ebmujor, si dhe tremujorin e fundit t\u00eb 2009 del qart\u00eb abuzimi politik me parat\u00eb e taksapaguesve p\u00ebr q\u00ebllime elektorale.<\/p>\n

Teorikisht cikli politik i biznesit p\u00ebrcaktohet: \u201dSi nj\u00eb ekspasion afatshkurt\u00ebr i stimuluar prej administrat\u00ebs para zgjedhjeve p\u00ebr t\u00eb fituar votat. \u201cPor pas zgjedhjeve vijn\u00eb pashmang\u00ebrisht axhustimet, duke rritur papun\u00ebsin\u00eb dhe inflacionin..:\u201d<\/p>\n

Kjo dukuri potenciale as mund t\u00eb shkohet n\u00ebp\u00ebr mend t\u00eb ndodh\u00eb para zgjedhjeve n\u00eb Amerik\u00eb apo n\u00eb Europ\u00eb. Ky fenomen nuk ka ndodhur as n\u00eb Shqip\u00ebri kur n\u00eb qeveri ishin socialist\u00ebt. Kjo ndodh sa her\u00eb n\u00eb pushtet vjen Z,Berisha, i cili dhe n\u00eb 1995 i udh\u00ebhequr nga kjo filozofi deklaronte: \u201d\u00e7far\u00eb do populli?..rrug\u00eb, uj\u00eb, shkolla\u2026 do ja u japim\u2026\u201d Tashm\u00eb njihet si ai manipuloi ekonomin\u00eb edhe zgjedhjet e vitit 1996, duke projektuar pas k\u00ebsaj shkat\u00ebrrimin nga r\u00ebnia e piramidave t\u00eb sude&company t\u00eb vitit 1997.<\/p>\n

Ky \u00ebsht\u00eb modeli i qeveris\u00eb \u201cBerisha\u201d, i cili p\u00ebrs\u00ebri n\u00eb 2009 iu kthye fenomeneve t\u00eb vitit 1996 ku abuzonte me deficitin buxhetor, duke influencuar nga nj\u00eb an\u00eb n\u00eb vendimmarrjen e zgjedh\u00ebsve dhe nga ana tjet\u00ebr n\u00eb shpenzime marramend\u00ebse t\u00eb fushat\u00ebs elektorale.<\/p>\n

Duke dashur t\u00eb paraqes nga pozita e studiueses nj\u00eb pasqyrim objektiv dhe t\u00eb sakt\u00eb t\u00eb realitetit, kam tentuar analiz\u00ebn e buxhetit jo vet\u00ebm n\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00eb statike n\u00eb fund t\u00eb vitit, por n\u00eb dinamik\u00eb gjat\u00eb vitit zgjedhor 2009, kur jo pa q\u00ebllim vazhdimisht n\u00eb shum\u00eb shkrime apo prononcime publike, kam t\u00ebrhequr v\u00ebmendjen q\u00eb mos t\u00eb ndodhte fenomeni i ciklit politik, cituar m\u00eb sip\u00ebr, me pasojat e tij negative, i njohur mir\u00eb nga studiuesit e teorive ekonomike.<\/p>\n

1. Fakti q\u00eb rritja e t\u00eb ardhurave buxhetore n\u00eb 2009 \u00ebsht\u00eb n\u00eb nivele minimale(2,7%), dhe q\u00eb shfaq r\u00ebnie t\u00eb dukshme gjat\u00eb gjysm\u00ebs s\u00eb dyt\u00eb t\u00eb vitit 2009(99%),duke arritur n\u00eb nivele negative n\u00eb tremujorin e kat\u00ebrt(96%), pavar\u00ebsisht nga nj\u00eb rritje e eksporteve n\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb tremujor, \u00ebsht\u00eb shqet\u00ebsuese p\u00ebr k\u00ebdo. Sepse nga ecuria e tyre varet ecuria e pagave, pensioneve, investimeve dhe mir\u00ebqenia.<\/p>\n

2. Situata e buxhetore e vitit 2009 \u00ebsht\u00eb karakterizuar nga nj\u00eb rritje m\u00eb e madhe e shpenzimeve buxhetore, ku gjith\u00eb shtesa e tyre \u00ebsht\u00eb realizuar n\u00eb periudh\u00ebn parazgjedhore. Konkretisht, investimet n\u00eb 6-mujorin e par\u00eb u realizuan 166% n\u00eb t\u00eb dytin 76% dhe n\u00eb tremujorin e fundit 56%. Ky fenomen quhet manipulimi i elektoratit me investime (parat\u00eb e taksapaguesve)n\u00eb gjysm\u00eb viti p\u00ebr q\u00ebllime elektorale ose e th\u00ebn\u00eb ndryshe shpenzimet e buxhetit jan\u00eb p\u00ebrdorur p\u00ebr t\u00eb bler\u00eb votat e shqiptar\u00ebve. N\u00eb kushtet kur kjo shtes\u00eb shpenzimesh n\u00eb 6-mujorin e par\u00eb nuk qe produkt i rritjes ekonomike(PPB) po i huamarrjes, ky q\u00ebndrim do t\u00eb kthehej shpejt n\u00eb t\u00eb kund\u00ebrt\u00ebn e vet n\u00eb pjes\u00ebn e dyt\u00eb t\u00eb vitit sidomos n\u00eb fund t\u00eb tij. Ai do t\u00eb shoq\u00ebrohej me praktik\u00ebn e \u201ckavalierit ton\u00eb\u201d q\u00eb e ushqeu kalin vet\u00ebm n\u00eb gjysm\u00ebn e par\u00eb t\u00eb vitit dhe po e ngordh at\u00eb, duke e l\u00ebn\u00eb pa ngr\u00ebn\u00eb n\u00eb gjysm\u00ebn e dyt\u00eb t\u00eb tij, pavar\u00ebsisht nga inaugurimet zhurm\u00ebm\u00ebdha t\u00eb qershor-korrikut 2009. Kjo \u00ebsht\u00eb forma m\u00eb e sh\u00ebmtuar e veprimtaris\u00eb reale t\u00eb qeveris\u00eb. Ajo nga nj\u00eb an\u00eb ka mashtruar publikun me shpenzime pa efektivitet, kryesisht investime, q\u00eb i demaskon kostoja e lart\u00eb e huamarrjes dhe nga ana tjet\u00ebr shum\u00eb prej tyre jan\u00eb t\u00eb dyshimt\u00eb p\u00ebr sa i p\u00ebrket cil\u00ebsis\u00eb s\u00eb tyre nga nxitimi elektoral, q\u00eb i ka l\u00ebn\u00eb t\u00eb pap\u00ebrfunduara p\u00ebr shkak t\u00eb mosfinancimit. Pushteti q\u00eb vjen nga kjo m\u00ebnyre qeverisjeje \u00ebsht\u00eb nj\u00eb pushtet i bler\u00eb n\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00eb korruptive nga parat\u00eb e taksapaguesve prandaj ky \u00ebsht\u00eb korrupsioni m\u00eb i madh, me nj\u00eb kosto shum\u00eb t\u00eb lart\u00eb p\u00ebr shqiptar\u00ebt.<\/p>\n

3. K\u00ebt\u00eb politik\u00eb mediokre qeveria guxon ta quaj\u00eb stimul ekonomik q\u00eb evitoi kriz\u00ebn n\u00eb Shqip\u00ebri, kur e v\u00ebrteta \u00ebsht\u00eb krejt ndryshe. Qeveria zhvilloi n\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00eb manipulative politik\u00ebn e ciklit politik, vet\u00ebm p\u00ebr shirita elektorale duke r\u00ebnduar ekonomin\u00eb dhe \u00e7uar vendin n\u00eb kriz\u00eb tashm\u00eb p\u00ebr shkak t\u00eb keqqeverisjes. Nj\u00eb situat\u00eb e till\u00eb e shpenzimeve marramend\u00ebse n\u00eb gjasht\u00ebmujorin e par\u00eb u shoq\u00ebrua dhe nuk mund t\u00eb mos shoq\u00ebrohej me tkurrjen e shpenzimeve dhe p\u00ebr rrjedhoj\u00eb t\u00eb t\u00eb ardhurave buxhetore ve\u00e7an\u00ebrisht n\u00eb 6-mujorin e dyt\u00eb dhe akoma m\u00eb shum\u00eb n\u00eb tremujorin e tret\u00eb.<\/p>\n

4. Kjo v\u00ebrtetohet nga t\u00eb dh\u00ebnat e tremujorit t\u00eb fundit ku t\u00eb gjith\u00eb treguesit jan\u00eb me mosrealizim p\u00ebrve\u00e7 shifrave t\u00eb rritura friksh\u00ebm t\u00eb interesave dhe sh\u00ebrbimit t\u00eb kostos s\u00eb borxhit q\u00eb tregon qartazi sa u kushton shqiptar\u00ebve sot kjo qeveri. N\u00eb tremujorin e fundit 2009 t\u00eb ardhurat tatimore, jan\u00eb realizuar 93,7%. Kjo reflekton edhe tendenc\u00ebn reale t\u00eb ekonomis\u00eb q\u00eb shpreh r\u00ebnie si\u00e7 e kemi parashikuar me koh\u00eb dhe aspak rritje si\u00e7 propagandon qeveria. Tremujori i fundit qartazi shpreh shenjat e kriz\u00ebs. \u00cbsht\u00eb e frikshme t\u00eb shihet se kundrejt 2008 rritja e t\u00eb ardhurave tatimore \u00ebsht\u00eb po aq sa rritja e kostos s\u00eb borxhit 6.6 miliard\u00eb lek\u00eb. Kjo \u00ebsht\u00eb \u201dmrekullia Berisha-Bode\u201d q\u00eb merr borxh tashm\u00eb p\u00ebr t\u00eb lar\u00eb borxhet e marra me pare me interesa t\u00eb larta q\u00eb po e paguajn\u00eb shqiptar\u00ebt.<\/p>\n

5. \u00cbsht\u00eb p\u00ebrkeq\u00ebsuar raporti shpenzime korente ndaj shpenzime kapitale dhe ndaj shpenzimeve gjithsej Shpenzimet korente n\u00eb 2009\/2008 jan\u00eb rritur me ritme shum\u00eb m\u00eb t\u00eb larta sesa shpenzimet kapitale. Kjo p\u00ebr faktin se shum\u00eb shpenzime p\u00ebr to si ato p\u00ebr shtesa p\u00ebr paga, pensione t\u00eb p\u00ebrndjekurit politik\u00eb apo ndonj\u00eb shp\u00ebrblim tjet\u00ebr kan\u00eb sh\u00ebrbyer vet\u00ebm si karrem p\u00ebr vota. Ky karrem po ripaguhet me rritje galopante t\u00eb kostos s\u00eb sh\u00ebrbimit t\u00eb borxhit si n\u00eb vitin 2009, por dhe 2010 e m\u00eb tej, por dhe n\u00ebp\u00ebrmjet rritjes s\u00eb \u00e7mimeve nga zhvleft\u00ebsimi i monedh\u00ebs.<\/p>\n

6. Shprehje e qart\u00eb e keqqeverisjes \u00ebsht\u00eb treguesi i raportit t\u00eb shpenzimeve korente ndaj t\u00eb ardhurave tatimore q\u00eb n\u00eb 2009\/2008 \u00ebsht\u00eb 104 %. Kjo qeveri q\u00eb nuk siguron t\u00eb ardhura as p\u00ebr t\u00eb mbajtur veten merr borxh, pa pasur hap\u00ebsira t\u00eb rris\u00eb ekonomin\u00eb. P\u00ebr t\u00eb qen\u00eb t\u00eb sakt\u00eb duhet t\u00eb kujtoj se qeveria e m\u00ebparshme socialiste duke trash\u00ebguar nj\u00eb ekonomi t\u00eb shkat\u00ebrruar pas r\u00ebnies s\u00eb piramidave financiare, k\u00ebt\u00eb koeficient nga 128% n\u00eb vitin 2000 e uli n\u00eb 106% n\u00eb vitin elektoral 2005. Ajo ndoqi k\u00ebshtu politiken e uljes s\u00eb kostos s\u00eb borxhit, e cila nga 30,6 miliard\u00eb lek\u00eb n\u00eb vitin 2000 ra n\u00eb 29,4 miliard\u00eb n\u00eb 2005,(ose nga 18% ndaj totalit t\u00eb shpenzimeve gjithsej n\u00eb 2000, ra n\u00eb 12,6% n\u00eb 2005 dhe 12% n\u00eb 2009) duke mos abuzuar me ciklin politik si qeveria aktuale q\u00eb e rriti koston e borxhit n\u00eb 42 miliard\u00eb n\u00eb vitin elektoral 2009. Pra, kemi dy modele t\u00eb ndryshme qeverisje. Nga viti 2000 n\u00eb 2005 sh\u00ebrbimi i borxhit total u ul me rreth 1,2 miliard\u00eb lek\u00eb nd\u00ebrsa nga 2005 ne 2010 pritet t\u00eb rritet me 22,7 miliard\u00eb lek\u00eb.<\/p>\n

7. Kjo politik\u00eb ka shp\u00ebn\u00eb n\u00eb rritje galopante t\u00eb deficitit buxhetor. Megjith\u00ebse u parashikua dhe u pretendua se do t\u00eb ulej n\u00eb 49 miliard\u00eb lek\u00eb me fakt u realizua 79.9 miliard\u00eb lek\u00eb. Pra rreth 30 miliard\u00eb lek\u00eb me shume se nj\u00eb viti m\u00eb par\u00eb ose duke arritur nivelin 7% t\u00eb PPB nga 5.54 % q\u00eb ishte vitin e kaluar.<\/p>\n

N\u00eb vend t\u00eb p\u00ebrfundimit
\nN\u00eb kushtet kur situata \u00ebsht\u00eb shoq\u00ebruar me r\u00ebnien e ritmit t\u00eb rritjes, q\u00eb po shfaqet duksh\u00ebm n\u00eb r\u00ebnien e t\u00eb ardhurave buxhetore n\u00eb tremujorin e kat\u00ebrt, merr r\u00ebnd\u00ebsi t\u00eb madhe diagnoza e qart\u00eb dhe pranimi i gjendjes reale nga qeveria n\u00eb vend t\u00eb demagogjis\u00eb s\u00eb saj pakufi, q\u00eb mendon se b\u00ebn politik\u00eb t\u00eb mir\u00eb duke mos pranuar asnj\u00eb gabim t\u00eb saj. N\u00eb k\u00ebto kushte r\u00ebnd\u00ebsi ka nd\u00ebrmarrja e masave t\u00eb sakta p\u00ebr t\u00eb dal\u00eb nga kjo situat\u00eb, ku Shqip\u00ebria nuk hyri aq p\u00ebr efekt t\u00eb kriz\u00ebs globale, por para s\u00eb gjithash dhe mbi t\u00eb gjitha nga pap\u00ebrgjegjshm\u00ebria e saj q\u00eb shpuri n\u00eb nj\u00eb politik\u00eb fiskale elektorale.<\/p>\n

Sepse n\u00eb ekonomin\u00eb e tregut kriza nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb fatalitet. E papranueshme \u00ebsht\u00eb mosmarrja e masave t\u00eb duhura n\u00eb koh\u00eb, p\u00ebr t\u00eb zvog\u00ebluar efektet e saj.<\/p>\n

Ne kushtet kur kjo situat\u00eb nuk pranohet nga qeveria, nga forca kryesore politike e mazhorances, por edhe nga forca q\u00eb i \u00ebsht\u00eb atashuar asaj q\u00eb p\u00ebr hir t\u00eb portofolave qeveritare mohoi leht\u00ebsisht ato q\u00eb mbronte dje si neve sot disa nga k\u00ebto \u00e7\u00ebshtje, rezulton jo vet\u00ebm nj\u00eb diagnoz\u00eb e gabuar, por dhe nj\u00eb terapi e gabuar, q\u00eb rezulton nga nj\u00eb mosvler\u00ebsim i sakt\u00eb i situat\u00ebs. Terapia e gabuar reflektohet nga mosfinancimi i biznesit p\u00ebr shpenzimet e b\u00ebra, mosrishikimi n\u00eb parlament i buxhetit t\u00eb vitit 2010, bllokim i buxheteve lokale n\u00eb bashkit\u00eb socialiste.<\/p>\n

Koha v\u00ebrtetoi se parashikimi i t\u00eb ardhurave buxhetore p\u00ebr 2010 mbi baz\u00ebn e treguesit t\u00eb planifikuar 326 miliard\u00eb lek\u00eb dhe jo atij t\u00eb realizuar n\u00eb fakt nga 299.2 miliard\u00eb lek\u00eb t\u00eb realizuara p\u00ebr vitin 2009, nuk k\u00ebrkon nj\u00eb shkurtim apriori t\u00eb thjesht\u00eb t\u00eb buxhetit si\u00e7 ka b\u00ebr\u00eb qeveria p\u00ebr 2010.<\/p>\n

K\u00ebrkohet nj\u00eb rishikim q\u00eb t\u00eb mbaje parasysh si realizimin faktik t\u00eb 2009, por dhe pritshm\u00ebrin\u00eb e rritjes ekonomike p\u00ebr 2010.<\/p>\n

K\u00ebrkohet nj\u00eb rishikim p\u00ebr t\u2019i drejtuar shpenzimet jo sikur nuk ka ndodhur gj\u00eb, por si\u00e7 \u00ebsht\u00eb realiteti, pra p\u00ebr t\u2019i drejtuar shpenzimet sipas prioriteteve p\u00ebr te qen\u00eb sa m\u00eb efektive dhe cil\u00ebsore.
\nN\u00eb k\u00ebto p\u00ebrfundime t\u00eb shpie analiza e holl\u00ebsishme e realitetit q\u00eb u mundova t\u00eb trajtoj n\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb shkrim. P\u00ebr t\u00eb qen\u00eb e sakt\u00eb dhe e sigurt ilustrova analitikisht me shifra \u00e7do konkluzion, sepse preferoj stilin e profesor H.Stein, i cili thot\u00eb: \u201cSiguria dhe sakt\u00ebsia e argumentuar me shifra t\u00eb shp\u00ebrblen. T\u00eb shp\u00ebrblen me v\u00ebmendje dhe influence\u201d. Kjo \u00ebsht\u00eb m\u00ebnyra m\u00eb e mir\u00eb e komunikimit, n\u00eb kushtet e autizmit t\u00eb qeveris\u00eb shqiptare.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Ermelinda Meksi Analiza e kriz\u00ebs ekonomiko-financiare, p\u00ebr t\u00eb nxjerr\u00eb m\u00ebsime p\u00ebr t\u00eb ardhmen, sot nuk ka p\u00ebrfshir\u00eb vet\u00ebm financier\u00ebt dhe analist\u00ebt e ekonomis\u00eb, por edhe psikolog\u00ebt. Ata koh\u00ebt e fundit kan\u00eb shtruar pyetjen? A mos u shkaktua kriza e fundit ekonomike nga njer\u00ebz q\u00eb nd\u00ebr karakteristikat e tyre kryesore kishin edhe nj\u00eb form\u00eb t\u00eb but\u00eb […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-1736","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","6":"category-artikuj"},"yoast_head":"\nSindroma e autizmit qeveritar dhe kriza shqiptare - FjALA e LIR\u00cb - Arkivi<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/fjala.info\/2009-2015\/sindroma-e-autizmit-qeveritar-dhe-kriza-shqiptare\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"sq_AL\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Sindroma e autizmit qeveritar dhe kriza shqiptare - FjALA e LIR\u00cb - Arkivi\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Ermelinda Meksi Analiza e kriz\u00ebs ekonomiko-financiare, p\u00ebr t\u00eb nxjerr\u00eb m\u00ebsime p\u00ebr t\u00eb ardhmen, sot nuk ka p\u00ebrfshir\u00eb vet\u00ebm financier\u00ebt dhe analist\u00ebt e ekonomis\u00eb, por edhe psikolog\u00ebt. Ata koh\u00ebt e fundit kan\u00eb shtruar pyetjen? 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