{"id":1327,"date":"2012-01-23T11:36:51","date_gmt":"2012-01-23T10:36:51","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/fjala.shkoder.net\/?p=1327"},"modified":"2012-01-23T11:36:51","modified_gmt":"2012-01-23T10:36:51","slug":"integrimi-ne-be-hendeku-gjigand-mes-perceptimit-dhe-realitetit","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/fjala.info\/2009-2015\/integrimi-ne-be-hendeku-gjigand-mes-perceptimit-dhe-realitetit\/","title":{"rendered":"Integrimi n\u00eb BE \u2013 hendeku gjigand mes perceptimit dhe realitetit"},"content":{"rendered":"

\"\" Nga Eduard Zaloshnja<\/strong>, 23 janar 2012<\/em><\/p>\n

Plot 47% e banor\u00ebve t\u00eb Shqip\u00ebris\u00eb besojn\u00eb se vendi yn\u00eb e ka fituar tashm\u00eb statusin e vendit kadidat p\u00ebr antar\u00ebsim n\u00eb Bashkimin Evropian (BE), nd\u00ebrsa 10% t\u00eb tjer\u00eb shkojn\u00eb edhe m\u00eb larg \u2013 besojn\u00eb se Shqip\u00ebria \u00ebsht\u00eb an\u00ebtare me t\u00eb drejta t\u00eb plota e BE-s\u00eb! K\u00ebto jan\u00eb rezultate t\u00eb publikuara nga Instituti Shqiptar i Studimeve Nd\u00ebrkomb\u00ebtare, q\u00eb kreu vjet nj\u00eb vrojtim statistikor t\u00eb popullsis\u00eb banuese n\u00eb Shqip\u00ebri. Sipas vrojtimit, vet\u00ebm 40% e shqiptar\u00ebve kishin njohuri t\u00eb sakta rreth statusit aktual t\u00eb Shqip\u00ebris\u00eb n\u00eb rrug\u00ebtimin e mundimsh\u00ebm drejt BE-s\u00eb, nd\u00ebrsa 3-p\u00ebrqind\u00ebshi tjet\u00ebr futej n\u00eb kategorin\u00eb \u201cku di gj\u00eb un\u00eb\u201d. Dhe d\u00ebshp\u00ebruese \u00ebsht\u00eb se p\u00ebrb\u00ebrja demografike e pakic\u00ebs s\u00eb shqiptar\u00ebve q\u00eb e kishin t\u00eb sakt\u00eb perceptimin p\u00ebr statusin aktual t\u00eb Shqip\u00ebris\u00eb n\u00eb raport me BE-n\u00eb na tregon se vet\u00ebm 1 nd\u00ebr 10 prej tyre i p\u00ebrkisnin grupmosh\u00ebs 18-24 vje\u00e7\u2026<\/p>\n

Pavar\u00ebsisht magnitud\u00ebs s\u00eb gabimit statistikor t\u00eb vrojtimit t\u00eb sip\u00ebrcituar, mund t\u00eb thuhet pa m\u00ebdyshje se ekziston nj\u00eb hendek gjigand mes perceptimit rreth procesit t\u00eb integrimit evropian dhe realitetit t\u00eb tij. Dhe kjo ndodh kur mosdh\u00ebnia e statusit t\u00eb vendit kandidat p\u00ebr Shqip\u00ebrin\u00eb ka qen\u00eb nj\u00eb nd\u00ebr kryetemat e debateve politike shqiptare n\u00eb dy vjet\u00ebt e fundit.<\/p>\n

Po pse ky hendek? Nga p\u00ebrgjigjet q\u00eb jan\u00eb dh\u00ebn\u00eb rreth liberalizimit t\u00eb vizave n\u00eb vrojtimin e sip\u00ebrcituar, kuptohet t\u00ebrthorazi se liberalizimi ngat\u00ebrrohet nga shumkush me dh\u00ebnien e statusit t\u00eb vendit kandidat n\u00eb BE. Dhe kjo p\u00ebrb\u00ebn nj\u00eb d\u00ebshmi trondit\u00ebse t\u00eb mosfunksionimit t\u00eb sistemit qeveris\u00ebs t\u00eb demokracis\u00eb p\u00ebrfaqsuese n\u00eb Shqip\u00ebri.<\/p>\n

N\u00eb sistemin qeveris\u00ebs t\u00eb demokracis\u00eb p\u00ebrfaqsuese (me zanafill\u00eb n\u00eb Senatin e Rom\u00ebs s\u00eb Lasht\u00eb), sovrani popull zgjedh periodikisht p\u00ebrfaq\u00ebsuesit e vet p\u00ebr t\u00eb b\u00ebr\u00eb ligje dhe p\u00ebr t\u00eb qeverisur. N\u00eb rastin kur p\u00ebrfaq\u00ebsuesit nuk realizojn\u00eb d\u00ebshirat q\u00eb ka sovrani, ata z\u00ebvend\u00ebsohen me t\u00eb tjer\u00eb. Por q\u00eb zgjedhja t\u00eb jet\u00eb sa m\u00eb e mir\u00eb, sovrani duhet t\u00eb jet\u00eb i mir\u00ebinformuar rreth performanc\u00ebs s\u00eb p\u00ebrfaqsuesve t\u00eb vet gjat\u00eb periudh\u00ebs mes dy zgjedhjeve.<\/p>\n

E p\u00ebrkthyer n\u00eb realitetin shqiptar t\u00eb dit\u00ebve t\u00eb sotme, kjo narrativ\u00eb e demokracis\u00eb p\u00ebrfasuese do t\u00eb na \u00e7onte n\u00eb p\u00ebrfundimin se shqiptar\u00ebt duhet t\u00eb zgjedhin ata p\u00ebrfaq\u00ebsues q\u00eb mund ta p\u00ebrshpejtojn\u00eb integrimin evropian t\u00eb Shqip\u00ebris\u00eb, p\u00ebrderisa shumica d\u00ebrrmuese e popullsis\u00eb e aprovon integrimin (rreth 81% tregonte studimi i sip\u00ebrcituar). Po si shqiptar\u00ebt do t\u00eb mund t\u00eb zgjedhin p\u00ebrfaqsues m\u00eb t\u00eb aft\u00eb e t\u00eb p\u00ebrkushtuar p\u00ebr marrjen e statusit t\u00eb vendit kandidat p\u00ebr n\u00eb BE, kur vet\u00ebm 40% e tyre e din\u00eb se ende nuk e kemi marr\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb status?!<\/p>\n

N\u00eb fakt, hendeku mes perceptimit t\u00eb publikut rreth performanc\u00ebs s\u00eb p\u00ebrfaqsuesve t\u00eb zgjedhur dhe performanc\u00ebs faktike t\u00eb tyre nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb nj\u00eb problem vet\u00ebm shqiptar \u2013 ai \u00ebsht\u00eb problem i brendsh\u00ebm sistemik i demokracis\u00eb p\u00ebrfaqsuese. N\u00eb demokracin\u00eb e drejtp\u00ebrdrjet\u00eb, t\u00eb zbatuar p\u00ebr her\u00eb t\u00eb par\u00eb n\u00eb Athihn\u00ebn e Lasht\u00eb, nd\u00ebrveprimi i vazhduesh\u00ebm mes t\u00eb zgjedhurve dhe zgjedh\u00ebsve n\u00eb mbledhjet e zhvilluara n\u00eb sheshin qendror t\u00eb qytetit (n\u00eb agor\u00ebn e famshme athinase) b\u00ebnte q\u00eb k\u00ebta t\u00eb fundit t\u00eb ishin relativisht t\u00eb mir\u00ebinformuar p\u00ebr performanc\u00ebn e t\u00eb zgjedhurve. Dhe kjo lloj demokracie nuk ishte fort v\u00ebshtir\u00eb t\u00eb realizohej, sepse brenda kufijve t\u00eb qytetit-shtet t\u00eb Athin\u00ebs numroheshin jo m\u00eb shum\u00eb se 20 mij\u00eb qytetar\u00eb me t\u00eb drejt\u00eb vote. K\u00ebshtuq\u00eb, kur duhej t\u00eb merreshin vendime t\u00eb ndryshme rreth jet\u00ebs publike athinase, k\u00ebshilli administrativ i qytetit th\u00ebrriste nj\u00eb mbledhje t\u00eb p\u00ebrgjithshme, ku diskutohej gjer\u00eb e gjat\u00eb dhe qytetar\u00ebt kishin t\u00eb drejt\u00ebn t\u00eb hidhnin nga nj\u00eb gur zalli t\u00eb bardh\u00eb apo t\u00eb zi n\u00eb qypat q\u00eb p\u00ebrfaq\u00ebsonin propozimet e k\u00ebshillit.<\/p>\n

N\u00eb koh\u00ebt e sotme, kur nuk ka m\u00eb qytete-shtete t\u00eb vogla si n\u00eb Greqin\u00eb e Lasht\u00eb, zbatimi i demokracis\u00eb s\u00eb drejtp\u00ebrdrejt\u00eb p\u00ebr \u00e7do vendimmarrje \u00ebsht\u00eb praktikisht i pamundur \u2013 ajo mund t\u00eb zbatohet vet\u00ebm p\u00ebr vendime shum\u00eb t\u00eb r\u00ebnd\u00ebsishme, n\u00ebp\u00ebrmjet referendumeve. Sot t\u00eb zgjedhurit marrin shum\u00eb vendime gjat\u00eb periudh\u00ebs mes dy zgjedhjeve, pa patur nj\u00eb nd\u00ebrveprim t\u00eb drejt\u00ebp\u00ebrdrejt\u00eb me njerzit q\u00eb p\u00ebrfaq\u00ebsojn\u00eb. Nd\u00ebrveprimi me ta realizohet kryesisht n\u00ebp\u00ebrmjet mediave dhe sondazheve mujore t\u00eb opinionit publik \u2013 mediat sh\u00ebrbejn\u00eb si kanale t\u00eb fuqish\u00ebm p\u00ebr t\u2019i dh\u00ebn\u00eb inrformacion zgjedh\u00ebsve dhe sondazhet p\u00ebr t\u00eb marr\u00eb informacion prej tyre. Jo m\u00eb kot mediave u \u00ebsht\u00eb v\u00ebn\u00eb epiteti pushteti i kat\u00ebrt, dhe un\u00eb do t\u00eb shtoja se sondazhet e opinionit publik po b\u00ebhen pushteti i pest\u00eb.<\/p>\n

N\u00eb rastin e perceptimit t\u00eb gabuar rreth statusit aktual t\u00eb Shqip\u00ebris\u00eb n\u00eb raport me BE-n\u00eb, kemi nj\u00eb d\u00ebshtim spektakolar t\u00eb atyre politikan\u00ebve q\u00eb jan\u00eb realisht pro integrimit evropian t\u00eb vendit, p\u00ebr t\u00eb transmetuar tek publiku faktin e thjesht\u00eb se ne jemi shum\u00eb prapa n\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb proces. Dhe nd\u00ebrkoh\u00eb, kemi edhe nj\u00eb d\u00ebshtim spektakolar t\u00eb atyre mediave q\u00eb jan\u00eb realisht t\u00eb interesuara n\u00eb lidhje m\u00eb t\u00eb.<\/p>\n

P\u00ebr shembull, shum\u00eb pak \u00ebsht\u00eb p\u00ebrmendur nga politikan\u00ebt tan\u00eb, apo \u00ebsht\u00eb analizuar nga mediat, fakti q\u00eb marrja e statusit t\u00eb vendit kandidat p\u00ebr n\u00eb BE do t\u00eb sillte, p\u00ebrve\u00e7 t\u00eb tjerave, edhe nj\u00eb p\u00ebrfitim t\u00eb ndjesh\u00ebm financiar p\u00ebr Shqip\u00ebrin\u00eb \u2013 marrja e k\u00ebtij statusi do t\u00eb na kualifikonte edhe p\u00ebr tre komponent\u00eb t\u00eb tjer\u00eb t\u00eb Instrumentit t\u00eb Ndihm\u00ebs s\u00eb Para-Antar\u00ebsimit. Akaktualisht p\u00ebrfitojm\u00eb vet\u00ebm nga dy komponent\u00eb, t\u00eb cil\u00ebt kan\u00eb t\u00eb b\u00ebjn\u00eb me rritjen e kapaciteteve administrative dhe teknike. Nd\u00ebrsa tre t\u00eb tjer\u00ebt (q\u00eb shtohen me marrjen e statusit t\u00eb vendit kandidat) mbulojn\u00eb zhvillimin rajonal, zhvillimin bujq\u00ebsor dhe zhvillimin e burimeve njer\u00ebzore. Pra, k\u00ebto t\u00eb fundit do t\u00eb jen\u00eb fonde q\u00eb shkojn\u00eb drejtp\u00ebrdrejt tek qytetar\u00ebt shqiptar\u00eb, dhe jo tek specialist\u00ebt evropian\u00eb q\u00eb vijn\u00eb p\u00ebr konsulenc\u00eb me fondet e dy komponent\u00ebve t\u00eb par\u00eb. (Fqinji yn\u00eb Maqedonia merr rreth 100 milion dollar\u00eb ndihm\u00eb n\u00eb vit nga tri fondet e zhvillimit dhe mund t\u00eb marr\u00eb deri n\u00eb 300 milion\u00eb n\u00eb vit, meq\u00eb e ka marr\u00eb statusin e vendit kandidat p\u00ebr BE.)<\/p>\n

Nd\u00ebr ata q\u00eb, n\u00eb anketimin e cituar n\u00eb fillim t\u00eb k\u00ebtij shkrimi, jan\u00eb p\u00ebrgjigjur se vendi yn\u00eb e ka fituar tashm\u00eb statusin e vendit kadidat p\u00ebr antar\u00ebsim n\u00eb BE, patjet\u00ebr duhet t\u00eb ket\u00eb patur edhe bujq. Dhe jam i bindur se ata nuk do t\u00eb ishin p\u00ebrgjigjur ashtu, n\u00eb qoft\u00eb se politikan\u00ebt dhe mediat do t\u2019ua kishin b\u00ebr\u00eb e rib\u00ebr\u00eb t\u00eb qart\u00eb se sa financim do t\u00eb merrte secili prej tyre nga ndihma e BE-s\u00eb p\u00ebr zhvillimin e bujq\u00ebsis\u00eb. N\u00eb t\u00eb nj\u00ebjt\u00ebn m\u00ebnyr\u00eb, t\u00eb rinjt\u00eb 18-24 vje\u00e7 do ta dinin q\u00eb nuk e kemi marr\u00eb ende statusin e vendit kandidat, n\u00eb qoft\u00eb se do t\u2019u ishte b\u00ebr\u00eb e rib\u00ebr\u00eb e qart\u00eb se sa financim do t\u00eb merrte secili prej tyre nga ndihma e BE-s\u00eb p\u00ebr zhvillimin e burimeve njerzore. E k\u00ebshtu me rradh\u00eb.<\/p>\n

Po sondazhet e opinionit si do t\u00eb mund t\u00eb ndikonin n\u00eb perceptimin e shqiptar\u00ebve rreth statusit aktual t\u00eb Shqip\u00ebris\u00eb n\u00eb raport me BE-n\u00eb? N\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00eb t\u00eb t\u00ebrthort\u00eb, por efikase. N\u00eb qoft\u00eb se sondazhet mujore do t\u00eb tregonin se vet\u00ebm 40% e shqiptar\u00ebve e din\u00eb q\u00eb Shqip\u00ebria ende nuk e ka marr\u00eb statusin e vendit kandidat, politikan\u00ebt realisht pro integrimit evropian t\u00eb vendit do t\u2019i rrisnin p\u00ebrpjekjet p\u00ebr t\u2019ua ngulitur n\u00eb mendje zgjedh\u00ebsve k\u00ebt\u00eb fakt dhe do t\u00eb mundoheshin t\u2019ua b\u00ebnin sa m\u00eb t\u00eb qart\u00eb atyre se kush e pengon realisht integrimin.<\/p>\n

Po pse nuk b\u00ebhen sondazhe mujor\u00eb t\u00eb opinionit n\u00eb Shqip\u00ebri, si kudo n\u00eb bot\u00ebn demokratike? Kjo \u00ebsht\u00eb nj\u00eb pyetje q\u00eb e kam p\u00ebr zem\u00ebr dhe q\u00eb, ndoshta p\u00ebr k\u00ebt\u00eb arsye, do t\u00eb mundohem t\u2019i p\u00ebrgjigjem pak m\u00eb gjat\u00eb.<\/p>\n

N\u00eb nj\u00eb intervist\u00eb rreth sondazheve politike, nj\u00eb gazetar i Vizion Plus-it m\u00eb b\u00ebri pik\u00ebrisht pyetjen e m\u00ebsip\u00ebrme dhe, n\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00eb sugjestionuese, shtoi: \u201cMos ka t\u00eb b\u00ebj\u00eb kjo me munges\u00ebn e sinqeritetit t\u00eb t\u00eb anketuarve shqiptar\u00eb?\u201d K\u00ebt\u00eb opinion e kam hasur shpesh n\u00eb biseda me t\u00eb njohur e t\u00eb panjohur n\u00eb Shqip\u00ebri. Pak a shum\u00eb, thelbi i diskutimeve t\u00eb tyre mund t\u00eb p\u00ebrmblidhet k\u00ebshtu: \u201cN\u00eb nj\u00eb vend si yni, me munges\u00eb tradite n\u00eb fush\u00ebn e sondazheve politike, nuk mund t\u00eb pretendohen parametra t\u00eb ngjash\u00ebm me ato t\u00eb vendeve me demokraci t\u00eb konsoliduar, p\u00ebr shkak se nevojitet nj\u00eb koh\u00eb e caktuar q\u00eb opinioni publik t\u00eb m\u00ebsohet me sondazhe dhe institucionet q\u00eb ofrojn\u00eb sh\u00ebrbime t\u00eb tilla t\u00eb perfeksionohen n\u00eb metodologjin\u00eb e pun\u00ebs k\u00ebrkimore\u201d.<\/p>\n

Por e kund\u00ebrta, n\u00eb fakt, \u00ebsht\u00eb e v\u00ebrtet\u00eb. Sondazhet e opinionit jan\u00eb p\u00ebrdorur me sukses qysh nga mesi i viteve \u201840 n\u00eb vendet e pazhvilluara (Sh\u00ebnim: lexoni revist\u00ebn \u201cInternational Social Science Journal\u201d t\u00eb vitit 1963, ku p\u00ebrmblidhen disa studime rreth suksesit t\u00eb sondazheve n\u00eb vitet e hershme t\u00eb kryerjes s\u00eb tyre n\u00eb vendet e pazhvilluara; http:\/\/unesdoc.unesco.org\/images\/0001\/000168\/016824eo.pdf). Nd\u00ebrsa n\u00eb dit\u00ebt e sotme, pothuaj nuk ka vend ku nuk kryhen sondazhe opinioni, p\u00ebrfshir\u00eb dhe vendet rreth nesh.<\/p>\n

Sidoqoft\u00eb, probabiliteti q\u00eb sondazhet t\u00eb gabojn\u00eb n\u00eb vende me demokraci t\u00eb pakonsoliduar \u00ebsht\u00eb m\u00eb i madh se n\u00eb vende me demokraci t\u00eb zhvilluar. Kjo mund t\u00eb ndodh\u00eb, sepse: 1) Sondazhisti mund t\u00eb mos dij\u00eb t\u2019i p\u00ebrdor\u00eb mir\u00eb instrument\u00ebt statistikor\u00eb n\u00eb kontekstin social-kulturor t\u00eb vendit konkret; 2) Sondazhisti mund t\u00eb blihet nga nj\u00ebra apo tjetra pal\u00eb n\u00eb gar\u00eb, p\u00ebr t\u00eb ndikuar k\u00ebshtu n\u00eb humorin politik t\u00eb zgjedh\u00ebsve para dit\u00ebs s\u00eb votimit. N\u00eb t\u00eb dyja rastet, projektimi i vot\u00ebs bazuar n\u00eb sondazh do t\u00eb ishte pa dyshim larg realitetit.<\/p>\n

N\u00eb Shqip\u00ebri kemi dy raste d\u00ebshtimi spektakolar t\u00eb sondazheve t\u00eb opinionit. N\u00eb zgjedhjet e 2009-\u00ebs, \u201cZogby International\u201d parashikoi p\u00ebr llogari t\u00eb \u201cTop Channel\u201d nj\u00eb avantazh gjigand p\u00ebr koalicionin e udh\u00ebhequr nga Berisha, nd\u00ebrkoh\u00eb q\u00eb diferenca mes dy koalicioneve kryesore n\u00eb rang vendi ishte vet\u00ebm 1.5 pik\u00eb p\u00ebrqindje. P\u00ebr shembull, Zogbi parashikoi n\u00eb qarkun e Tiran\u00ebs nj\u00eb avantazh prej 14% p\u00ebr koalicionin Berisha, nd\u00ebrkoh\u00eb q\u00eb avantazhi ishte vet\u00ebm 1%. N\u00eb t\u00eb nj\u00ebjt\u00ebn koh\u00eb, \u201cGani Bobi\u201d parashikoi p\u00ebr llogari t\u00eb \u201cTV Klan\u201d nj\u00eb avantazh t\u00eb ngjash\u00ebm me t\u00eb Zogbit.<\/p>\n

P\u00ebrve\u00e7 k\u00ebtyre dy rasteve t\u00eb d\u00ebshtimit spektakolar, kemi patur edhe ndonj\u00eb rast suksesi. K\u00ebshtu, n\u00eb vitin 2009 \u201cIPR Marketing\u201d parashikoi p\u00ebr llogari t\u00eb \u201cOra News\u201d se koalicioni Berisha do t\u00eb fitonte 47% t\u00eb votave n\u00eb rang vendi, nga 46.9% q\u00eb shpalli KQZ-ja. Jo m\u00eb kot p\u00ebrdora fraz\u00ebn \u201cq\u00eb shpalli KQZ-ja\u201d, sepse, si\u00e7 dihet, opozita e quajti t\u00eb manipuluar rezultatin zyrtar t\u00eb zgjedhjeve t\u00eb 2009-\u00ebs. Dhe n\u00eb qoft\u00eb se rreth gjysma e publikut e quan t\u00eb manipuluar rezultatin zyrtar t\u00eb zgjedhjeve, cila mund t\u00eb jet\u00eb pika e pakund\u00ebrshtueshme e referimit p\u00ebr sakt\u00ebsin\u00eb e nj\u00eb sondazhi?<\/p>\n

Un\u00eb e kam provuar vet\u00eb n\u00eb kurrizin tim problemin e munges\u00ebs s\u00eb pik\u00ebs s\u00eb pakund\u00ebrshtueshme t\u00eb referimit p\u00ebr sondazhet. Para zgjedhjeve p\u00ebr Bashkin\u00eb e Tiran\u00ebs n\u00eb 2011-\u00ebn, zhvillova nj\u00eb sondazh, n\u00eb baz\u00eb t\u00eb t\u00eb cilit parashikova publikisht nj\u00eb fitore t\u00eb Edi Ram\u00ebs n\u00eb kuot\u00ebn 52.6%. Dhe pas zgjedhjeve, m’u b\u00ebn\u00eb komente kund\u00ebrth\u00ebn\u00ebs nga njer\u00ebz t\u00eb ndrysh\u00ebm: Ata q\u00eb ishin pro Bash\u00ebs m\u00eb thoshin se sondazhi m\u00eb kishte d\u00ebshtuar, nd\u00ebrsa ata q\u00eb ishin pro Ram\u00ebs m\u00eb thoshin se sondazhi kishte qen\u00eb i sakt\u00eb, por votimi dhe num\u00ebrimi ishte manipuluar (ve\u00e7oj k\u00ebtu batut\u00ebn e dikujt q\u00eb m\u00eb tha se sondazhin e kisha b\u00ebr\u00eb me banor\u00ebt e Tiran\u00ebs, e jo me ata t\u00eb Fark\u00ebs, q\u00eb votuan edhe andej edhe k\u00ebtej!).<\/p>\n

Historia e sondazheve politik\u00eb ka filluar me nj\u00eb sukses t\u00eb Dr. Xhorxh Gallup, i cili parashikoi n\u00eb vitin 1936 fitoren n\u00eb gar\u00ebn presidenciale t\u00eb SHBA-s\u00eb, n\u00ebp\u00ebrmjet nj\u00eb sondazhi me kampion t\u00eb vog\u00ebl statistikor. Dhe suksesi i tij bazohej n\u00eb faktin se rezultati zyrtar i zgjedhjeve nuk u kontestua nga pala humb\u00ebse. Me fjal\u00eb t\u00eb tjera, u quajt m\u00ebse i mir\u00ebqen\u00eb fakti q\u00eb sondazhi mund t\u00eb sh\u00ebrbej\u00eb si nj\u00eb baromet\u00ebr relativisht i sakt\u00eb p\u00ebr t\u00eb matur kuotat e pal\u00ebve n\u00eb garat politike. Qysh at\u00ebher\u00eb, kompania e themeluar prej Dr. Gallup ka kryer sondazhe periodik\u00eb mujor\u00eb rreth humorit politik t\u00eb amerikan\u00ebve, si dhe ka kryer sondazhe politik\u00eb n\u00eb shum\u00eb vende t\u00eb bot\u00ebs (t\u00eb zhvilluar e t\u00eb pazhvilluar). Dhe shembullin e saj e kan\u00eb ndjekur me qindra kompani t\u00eb tjera n\u00eb t\u00eb kat\u00ebr an\u00ebt e globit.<\/p>\n

N\u00eb shumic\u00ebn d\u00ebrrmuese t\u00eb rasteve, rezultatet e parashikuara prej sondazheve jan\u00eb vertetuar nga rezultatet faktike t\u00eb zgjedhjeve. Por ka pasur edhe raste kur sondazhet kan\u00eb d\u00ebshtuar n\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00eb spektakolare. P\u00ebr shembull, n\u00eb vitin 1948, t\u00eb gjith\u00eb sondazhet e financuara nga mediat amerikane parashikuan fitoren e kandidatit presidencial Thomas E. Dewey, nd\u00ebrkoh\u00eb q\u00eb rezultati p\u00ebrfundimtar tregoi nj\u00eb avantazh prej 4.4% t\u00eb presidentit Truman. (New York Times shkoi deri atje sa, duke i besuar sondazheve, doli me titullin kryesor \u201cDewey fiton ndaj Truman\u201d…).<\/p>\n

Pavar\u00ebsisht nga ndonj\u00eb d\u00ebshtim sporadik, sondazhet periodik\u00eb politik\u00eb, fal\u00eb suksesit t\u00eb tyre kudo n\u00eb bot\u00eb, jan\u00eb kthyer n\u00eb nj\u00eb mjet t\u00eb fuqish\u00ebm trysnie t\u00eb publikut ndaj politikan\u00ebve. Po n\u00eb Shqip\u00ebri kur do t\u00eb vij\u00eb nj\u00eb dit\u00eb e till\u00eb? Vet\u00ebm pasi t\u00eb b\u00ebhen zgjedhje plot\u00ebsisht t\u00eb lira e t\u00eb ndershme, t\u00eb pakontestuara nga ndonj\u00eb aktor i r\u00ebnd\u00ebsish\u00ebm politik. Dhe pasi kjo dit\u00eb t\u00eb vij\u00eb, do t\u00eb gjenden kompani t\u00eb afta p\u00ebr t\u00eb deshifruar humorin politik t\u00eb shqiptar\u00ebve, brenda nj\u00eb marzhi t\u00eb arsyesh\u00ebm t\u00eb gabimit statistikor. Kjo ka ndodhur e ndodh edhe n\u00eb vende m\u00eb t\u00eb pazhvilluara se Shqip\u00ebria \u2013 s\u2019ka p\u00ebrse t\u00eb mos ndodh\u00eb nj\u00eb dit\u00eb edhe tek ne\u2026<\/p>\n

(Botuar fillimisht n\u00eb faqen e internetit t\u00eb Institutit Shqiptar t\u00eb Medias http:\/\/europaesse.wordpress.com\/category\/debati-per-integrimin\/ )<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Nga Eduard Zaloshnja, 23 janar 2012 Plot 47% e banor\u00ebve t\u00eb Shqip\u00ebris\u00eb besojn\u00eb se vendi yn\u00eb e ka fituar tashm\u00eb statusin e vendit kadidat p\u00ebr antar\u00ebsim n\u00eb Bashkimin Evropian (BE), nd\u00ebrsa 10% t\u00eb tjer\u00eb shkojn\u00eb edhe m\u00eb larg \u2013 besojn\u00eb se Shqip\u00ebria \u00ebsht\u00eb an\u00ebtare me t\u00eb drejta t\u00eb plota e BE-s\u00eb! K\u00ebto jan\u00eb rezultate t\u00eb […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-1327","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","6":"category-artikuj"},"yoast_head":"\nIntegrimi n\u00eb BE \u2013 hendeku gjigand mes perceptimit dhe realitetit - FjALA e LIR\u00cb - Arkivi<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/fjala.info\/2009-2015\/integrimi-ne-be-hendeku-gjigand-mes-perceptimit-dhe-realitetit\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"sq_AL\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Integrimi n\u00eb BE \u2013 hendeku gjigand mes perceptimit dhe realitetit - FjALA e LIR\u00cb - Arkivi\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Nga Eduard Zaloshnja, 23 janar 2012 Plot 47% e banor\u00ebve t\u00eb Shqip\u00ebris\u00eb besojn\u00eb se vendi yn\u00eb e ka fituar tashm\u00eb statusin e vendit kadidat p\u00ebr antar\u00ebsim n\u00eb Bashkimin Evropian (BE), nd\u00ebrsa 10% t\u00eb tjer\u00eb shkojn\u00eb edhe m\u00eb larg \u2013 besojn\u00eb se Shqip\u00ebria \u00ebsht\u00eb an\u00ebtare me t\u00eb drejta t\u00eb plota e BE-s\u00eb! 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