![\"Rexhep](\"http:\/\/www.shkoder.net\/images\/fjala\/rexhep_meidani.jpg\")
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Rexhep Meidani<\/strong>, 06.01.2010<\/em><\/p>\n M\u00eb 15 dhjetor 2006, n\u00eb gazet\u00ebn \u201cPanorama\u201d kam botuar nj\u00eb shkrim me titull: \u201cN\u00eb k\u00ebrkim t\u00eb viteve \u201c1200\u201d!\u201d, q\u00eb lidhej me that\u00ebsir\u00ebn e atij dimri dhe krahasimin e saj me t\u00eb gjitha llojet e that\u00ebsir\u00ebs n\u00eb rajonin ton\u00eb, q\u00eb nga viti 1200 deri n\u00eb at\u00eb dat\u00eb. N\u00eb fakt, me at\u00eb shkrim m\u00eb shum\u00eb synohej t\u00eb luftohej (dhe aspak t\u00eb ironizohej) nj\u00eb lloj demagogjie relativisht sa \u201ct\u00eb trash\u00eb\u201d, po aq t\u00eb panevojshme, q\u00eb fyente inteligjenc\u00ebn e vet\u00eb shqiptar\u00ebve! Dhe, mbi t\u00eb gjitha, p\u00ebr t\u00eb ndihmuar sado pak n\u00eb shmangien e \u201cfluturimeve\u201d t\u00eb tilla hiperbolike n\u00eb raste t\u00eb tilla…<\/p>\n Nj\u00eb situat\u00eb e ngjashme \u00ebsht\u00eb ndeshur dhe n\u00eb k\u00ebto dit\u00eb p\u00ebrmbysjesh t\u00eb m\u00ebdha, si rezultat i reshjeve apo ndikimeve natyrore, ashtu dhe gabimeve, neglizhencave njer\u00ebzore apo mungesave s\u00eb nd\u00ebrhyrjeve e riparimeve infrastrukturore t\u00eb domosdoshme. Por q\u00eb gjith\u00e7ka mund t\u2019i vishej ngrohjes globale, askujt nuk do t\u2019i kishte shkuar mendja m\u00eb par\u00eb! Bile, nuk u besohej fjal\u00ebve e komenteve! Ishte nj\u00eb \u201cshpikje\u201d e menj\u00ebhershme, tamam si ajo \u201cperla\u201d apo historia me vez\u00ebn e Kolombit!…<\/p>\n Sidoqoft\u00eb, p\u00ebr t\u00eb mos reaguar n\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00eb t\u00eb nj\u00ebjt\u00eb n\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb koh\u00eb t\u00eb ndryshme, po i lutem redaksis\u00eb t\u00eb m\u00eb ribotoj\u00eb at\u00eb shkrim t\u00eb afro 3 vjet\u00ebve m\u00eb par\u00eb, por dhe duke i b\u00ebr\u00eb, po ashtu, thirrje durimit t\u00eb lexuesit p\u00ebr t\u00eb nd\u00ebrtuar vet\u00eb analogjit\u00eb e nevojshme. Dhe, mbi t\u00eb gjitha, p\u00ebr t\u00eb mos g\u00eblltitur \u201cfyerje\u201d t\u00eb tjera t\u00eb panevojshme…<\/p>\n * * *<\/p>\n \u201dPara pak dit\u00ebsh na d\u00ebgjuan vesh\u00ebt, jo pa habi, nj\u00eb deklarat\u00eb \u201cserioze\u201d mbi that\u00ebsir\u00ebn e k\u00ebtij viti t\u00eb papar\u00eb prej 1200 vjet\u00ebsh, edhe pse n\u00eb pranver\u00eb dhe ver\u00eb pat\u00ebm shira me boll\u00ebk, q\u00eb soll\u00ebn p\u00ebrmbytje t\u00eb konsiderueshme, shembje rrug\u00ebsh apo hapje portash t\u00eb hidrocentraleve!… * * *<\/p>\n Nga kontrolli i par\u00eb rezultoi di\u00e7ka e \u00e7uditshme. Na ishte zgjidhur k\u00ebto dit\u00eb (m\u00eb 12 dhjetor 2006) nj\u00eb problem i vjet\u00ebr i ekspozuar sidomos 1200 vjet m\u00eb par\u00eb, t\u00eb cilit nuk kishin arritur t\u2019i jepnin nj\u00ebfar\u00eb p\u00ebrgjigje, q\u00eb n\u00eb koh\u00ebt e tyre, qoft\u00eb i famshmi Pitagora, qoft\u00eb gjeniu Njuton. Megjithat\u00eb matematikan\u00ebt m\u00eb me z\u00eb t\u00eb dit\u00ebve tona po shprehin nj\u00eb ftoht\u00ebsi e mosbesim t\u00eb plot\u00eb ndaj k\u00ebsaj zgjidhje apo k\u00ebtij \u201czbulimi\u201d! B\u00ebhet fjal\u00eb p\u00ebr pjes\u00ebtimin me zero (jo p\u00ebr kalimin n\u00eb limit me rregullat e l\u2019Hopitalit), duke shfryt\u00ebzuar nj\u00eb num\u00ebr t\u00eb ri t\u00eb quajtur \u201cnulitet\u201d, i cili, sipas propozuesit ndodhet jasht\u00eb rreshtit t\u00eb numrave konvencional\u00eb (d.m.th t\u00eb gjith\u00eb numrave q\u00eb nga minus infiniti shtrihen, n\u00ebp\u00ebrmjet zeros, n\u00eb plus infinit). P\u00ebr ta dalluar at\u00eb, simboli i tij na jepet dhe me barazimin e dyt\u00eb t\u00eb figur\u00ebs bashk\u00ebngjitur …<\/p>\n Dihet q\u00eb po t\u00eb tentosh t\u00eb b\u00ebsh nj\u00eb pjes\u00ebtim me zero(!) n\u00eb kompjuter apo n\u00eb nj\u00eb kalkulator t\u00eb thjesht, ata menj\u00ebher\u00eb japin mesazhin e gabimit (\u201cerror\u201d). Megjithat\u00eb, sipas Dr. Andersonit, kjo gjetje na zgjidh nj\u00eb problem mjaft t\u00eb r\u00ebnd\u00ebsish\u00ebm – problemin e asgj\u00ebs\u00eb. K\u00ebshtu, duke marr\u00eb rastin e funksionimit t\u00eb zemr\u00ebs ai n\u00ebnvizon se: kur \u201cpeismeikeri\u201d (stimuluesi kardiak) i njeriut pjes\u00ebton me zero, at\u00ebher\u00eb ky individ vdes. Apo n\u00ebse, p.sh., nj\u00eb pasagjer ndodhet n\u00eb nj\u00eb aeroplan q\u00eb b\u00ebn uljen n\u00eb pist\u00eb me nj\u00eb automat-pilot, n\u00ebse aparatura automatike, pran\u00eb tok\u00ebs, b\u00ebn nj\u00eb pjes\u00ebtim me zero, at\u00ebher\u00eb kompjuteri menj\u00ebher\u00eb e nd\u00ebrpret funksionimin e tij dhe pasagjeri mund t\u00eb gjendet n\u00eb nj\u00eb situat\u00eb tep\u00ebr t\u00eb rrezikshme p\u00ebr jet\u00ebn e tij. Me futjen e \u201cnulitetit\u201d, sipas doktorit, k\u00ebto probleme zgjidhen thjesht e pa m\u00eb t\u00eb vogl\u00ebn v\u00ebshtir\u00ebsi!…<\/p>\n * * *<\/p>\n Nga kontrolli i dyt\u00eb, rezultonte se nj\u00eb fush\u00eb e re mjaft e r\u00ebnd\u00ebsishme n\u00eb klimatologji, k\u00ebto koh\u00ebt e fundit, po b\u00ebhet dhe paleoklimatologjia (shkenca e studimit t\u00eb klim\u00ebs n\u00eb t\u00eb kaluar\u00ebn). Pra, nj\u00eb fush\u00eb q\u00eb ka t\u00eb b\u00ebj\u00eb, n\u00eb fakt, me paleoklim\u00ebn apo me grumbullimin, analiz\u00ebn dhe krahasimin e t\u00eb dh\u00ebnave klimatike t\u00eb m\u00ebparshme (t\u00eb siguruara n\u00ebp\u00ebrmjet gjurm\u00ebve natyrore e arkeologjike (skeleteve shtazore, unazave t\u00eb drur\u00ebve, mbetjeve t\u00eb ndryshme, etj), apo dokumenteve, ditar\u00ebve, etj.). Sidomos p\u00ebr periudha para se njeriu t\u00eb dispononte instrumente mat\u00ebs si termometrin p\u00ebr matjen e temperatur\u00ebs, barometrin p\u00ebr matjen e presionit, anemometrin p\u00ebr matjen e shpejt\u00ebsis\u00eb dhe drejtimit t\u00eb er\u00ebs, etj. Sipas k\u00ebtyre t\u00eb dh\u00ebnave dhe p\u00ebrpunimit t\u00eb tyre vihet re q\u00eb ndikimet astronomike dhe t\u00eb llojeve t\u00eb tjera kan\u00eb b\u00ebr\u00eb q\u00eb temperatura mesatare e planetit t\u00eb jet\u00eb ngritur dhe zbritur disa her\u00eb q\u00eb prej formimit t\u00eb tij.<\/p>\n Megjithat\u00eb, nuk duhet harruar q\u00eb t\u00eb dh\u00ebnat instrumentale, relativisht \u00eb k\u00ebnaqshme p\u00ebr klim\u00ebn apo motin, nuk shkojn\u00eb prapa n\u00eb koh\u00eb p\u00ebrtej nj\u00eb periudhe t\u00eb 140-150 vjet\u00ebve m\u00eb par\u00eb, por dhe t\u00eb tilla ata flasin jo pak p\u00ebr rreziqet e sotme t\u00eb ngrohjes globale. Nga ana tjet\u00ebr, nuk duhet harruar q\u00eb matjet m\u00eb t\u00eb hershme sasiore t\u00eb temperatur\u00ebs me termomet\u00ebr i takojn\u00eb fundit t\u00eb shekullit t\u00eb 17-t\u00eb dhe fillimit t\u00eb shekullit t\u00eb 18-t\u00eb ( N\u00eb fakt, termometri i par\u00eb i v\u00ebrtet\u00eb, i shpikur nga Galilei, ishte nj\u00eb termoskop q\u00eb lejonte t\u00eb gjykohej vet\u00ebm cil\u00ebsisht mbi ngritjen apo uljen e temperatur\u00ebs)…<\/p>\n Duke filluar nga vitet 1970-t\u00eb, paleoklimatolog\u00ebt filluan t\u00eb nd\u00ebrtonin \u201cblueprint\u201d-in e ndryshimit t\u00eb temperatur\u00ebs para matjeve instrumentale, pra p\u00ebr t\u00eb shkuar m\u00eb thell\u00eb n\u00eb shekuj. Edhe pse jo gjithmon\u00eb konvergjente dhe t\u00eb gjith\u00ebpranuara ato deri diku flasin n\u00eb favor t\u00eb tez\u00ebs se temperatura n\u00eb shekullin e 20-t\u00eb, sidomos pas vitit 1920, ka pasur, n\u00eb mesatare, nj\u00eb prirje n\u00eb rritje, me nj\u00eb maksimum m\u00eb t\u00eb qart\u00eb, sidomos n\u00eb vitet 1990-t\u00eb (megjith\u00ebse pretendohet po ashtu q\u00eb ka ekzistuar nj\u00eb period\u00eb mesatarisht e nxeht\u00eb midis shekullit t\u00eb 9-t\u00eb dhe 14-t\u00eb, apo nj\u00eb periudh\u00eb shum\u00eb m\u00eb e nxeht\u00eb se e tanishmja afro 6000 mij\u00eb vjet m\u00eb par\u00eb).<\/p>\n Aq m\u00eb i v\u00ebshtir\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb p\u00ebrcaktimi i variacionit t\u00eb that\u00ebsir\u00ebs n\u00eb shekuj. Regjistrimet mbi reshjet nuk shkojn\u00eb m\u00eb mbrapa se 100 vjet. Njihet p.sh that\u00ebsira e madhe e viteve 1930-t\u00eb q\u00eb zgjati mbi 7 vjet n\u00eb disa rajone t\u00eb SHBA dhe q\u00eb u shoq\u00ebrua me emigrimin e milionave njer\u00ebzve drejt zonave per\u00ebndimore apo disa that\u00ebsira rajonale t\u00eb m\u00ebvonshme, n\u00eb vitet 1950-t\u00eb apo n\u00eb periudh\u00ebn 1987-1989.<\/p>\n Megjithat\u00eb, vihen re sot p\u00ebrpjekje, q\u00eb duke studiuar t\u00eb dh\u00ebna t\u00eb tjera t\u00eb t\u00ebrthorta mbi that\u00ebsir\u00ebn apo reshjet (sipas ndryshimit t\u00eb nivelit t\u00eb ujit n\u00eb liqene, n\u00ebp\u00ebrmjet g\u00ebrryerjeve apo precipitimeve an\u00ebsore, vegjetacionit apo rrath\u00ebve t\u00eb pem\u00ebve, mbetjeve natyrore e arkeologjike, shkrimeve, ditar\u00ebve apo dokumenteve t\u00eb tjera, etj.) po tentohet t\u00eb hidhet nj\u00eb v\u00ebshtrim edhe n\u00eb periudha m\u00eb t\u00eb hershme. N\u00ebp\u00ebrmjet dokumenteve t\u00eb shkruara mund t\u00eb nxirret nj\u00eb informacion relativisht i pranuesh\u00ebm deri n\u00eb 200-300 vitet e fundit. Madje, kur dokumentet e shkruara jan\u00eb ruajtur me kujdes, edhe disa shekuj m\u00eb par\u00eb. Po k\u00ebshtu nj\u00ebfar\u00eb informacioni tjet\u00ebr mund t\u00eb p\u00ebrpunohet edhe nga \u201cburimet\u201d e tjera, t\u00eb p\u00ebrmendura m\u00eb sip\u00ebr.<\/p>\n Nj\u00eb far\u00eb harte e till\u00eb e t\u00ebrthort\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb nd\u00ebrtuar p.sh n\u00eb SHBA p\u00ebr 300 vitet e fundit (q\u00eb flet p\u00ebr nj\u00eb that\u00ebsi t\u00eb ngjashme me at\u00eb t\u00eb viteve 1950-t\u00eb edhe n\u00eb vitet 1730-t\u00eb, 1820-t\u00eb apo 1860-t\u00eb). Po k\u00ebshtu nga k\u00ebto studime paleoklimatike \u00ebsht\u00eb besuar se nj\u00eb that\u00ebsir\u00eb e ngjashme me at\u00eb t\u00eb viteve 1930-t\u00eb ka ndodhur n\u00eb pjes\u00ebn qendrore t\u00eb Amerik\u00ebs s\u00eb Veriut dhe n\u00eb gjysm\u00ebn e dyt\u00eb t\u00eb shekullit t\u00eb 16-t\u00eb. Nj\u00eb gjykim i par\u00eb, relativisht i p\u00ebrgjithsh\u00ebm, sipas studiuesve amerikan\u00eb t\u00eb k\u00ebsaj fushe \u00ebsht\u00eb se that\u00ebsira si ato t\u00eb shekullit t\u00eb 20-t\u00eb apo qoft\u00eb dhe ajo e shekullit t\u00eb 16-t\u00eb kan\u00eb qen\u00eb shum\u00eb m\u00eb t\u00eb \u201cbuta\u201d se ato t\u00eb n\u00eb nj\u00eb periudh\u00eb m\u00eb t\u00eb larg\u00ebt gati 2000 apo m\u00eb shum\u00eb. Dhe asgj\u00eb tjet\u00ebr m\u00eb konkrete p.sh., p\u00ebr vitet 1200!…<\/p>\n * * *<\/p>\n At\u00ebher\u00eb, n\u00ebse \u00ebsht\u00eb k\u00ebshtu, nga e gjeti z. Kryeministri yn\u00eb at\u00eb shpikjen e that\u00ebsir\u00ebs s\u00eb sivjetme t\u00eb barabart\u00eb me at\u00eb t\u00eb 1200 viteve m\u00eb par\u00eb? Nga ajo zgjidhja e dhjetorit me numrin e ri t\u00eb pag\u00ebzuar \u201cnulitet\u201d . Apo dhe ajo th\u00ebnie i ngjet asaj t\u00eb historis\u00eb s\u00eb \u00e7uditshme t\u00eb Kuvajtit vite m\u00eb par\u00eb?…\u201d<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Rexhep Meidani, 06.01.2010 M\u00eb 15 dhjetor 2006, n\u00eb gazet\u00ebn \u201cPanorama\u201d kam botuar nj\u00eb shkrim me titull: \u201cN\u00eb k\u00ebrkim t\u00eb viteve \u201c1200\u201d!\u201d, q\u00eb lidhej me that\u00ebsir\u00ebn e atij dimri dhe krahasimin e saj me t\u00eb gjitha llojet e that\u00ebsir\u00ebs n\u00eb rajonin ton\u00eb, q\u00eb nga viti 1200 deri n\u00eb at\u00eb dat\u00eb. N\u00eb fakt, me at\u00eb shkrim m\u00eb […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"yoast_head":"\n
\nEdhe pse mjaft e \u00e7uditshme si deklarat\u00eb, bile aspak konvergjente me realitetin mesatar vjetor, me gjith\u00eb \u201cgoj\u00ebn\u201d aq t\u00eb pabesueshme q\u00eb e shqiptoi, kurioziteti t\u00eb shtynte q\u00eb t\u00eb \u201dkontrollohej\u201d ajo n\u00ebp\u00ebrmjet shqyrtimit t\u00eb t\u00eb \u201cdh\u00ebnave t\u00eb deritanishme\u201d.<\/p>\n