{"id":10904,"date":"2011-10-07T00:08:57","date_gmt":"2011-10-06T23:08:57","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/fjala.shkoder.net\/?p=10904"},"modified":"2011-10-07T00:08:57","modified_gmt":"2011-10-06T23:08:57","slug":"kriza-e-borxheve-dhe-pritshmeria-shqiptare","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/fjala.info\/2009-2015\/kriza-e-borxheve-dhe-pritshmeria-shqiptare\/","title":{"rendered":"Kriza e borxheve dhe pritshm\u00ebria shqiptare"},"content":{"rendered":"

Nga Shk\u00eblqim Cani<\/strong><\/p>\n

Ekonomia europiane po kalon nj\u00eb periudh\u00eb t\u00eb v\u00ebshtir\u00eb. Qeverit\u00eb e \u00e7do vendi po marrin masa p\u00ebr t\u00eb kufizuar efektet negative t\u00eb kriz\u00ebs s\u00eb borxheve. Bashkimi Europian dhe vendet e Eurozon\u00ebs po bashk\u00ebrendojn\u00eb masat p\u00ebr t\u00eb shp\u00ebtuar nga falimentimi ekonomin\u00eb e fqinjit ton\u00eb jugor, Greqis\u00eb, si dhe p\u00ebr t\u00eb kufizuar n\u00eb maksimum p\u00ebrhapjen e kriz\u00ebs s\u00eb borxheve n\u00eb vendet e tjera europiane. Deri m\u00eb tani tregu nuk ka krijuar besimin e duhur tek autoritetet dhe nuk kan\u00eb bindje se masat e tyre jan\u00eb cil\u00ebsisht t\u00eb duhurat dhe t\u00eb mjaftueshme. Frika \u00ebsht\u00eb sidomos se flak\u00ebt e kriz\u00ebs mund t\u00eb p\u00ebrfshijn\u00eb Italin\u00eb, Portugalin\u00eb, Spanj\u00ebn etj. Kjo panoram\u00eb e zymt\u00eb duket se do t\u00eb shtrihet n\u00eb disa vite, me gjith\u00eb masat \u201cdrastike\u201d t\u00eb qeveris\u00eb greke, deri diku dhe italiane etj.<\/p>\n

Kan\u00eb kaluar tashm\u00eb mbi tre vite nga paralajm\u00ebrimi i par\u00eb p\u00ebr kriz\u00ebn ekonomike bot\u00ebrore q\u00eb po mb\u00ebrthente ekonomin\u00eb bot\u00ebrore. K\u00ebrkesave t\u00eb ekspert\u00ebve p\u00ebr qeverin\u00eb ton\u00eb p\u00ebr t\u00eb marr\u00eb masa p\u00ebr t\u2019u mbrojtur nga efektet e saj, qeveria dhe institucionet p\u00ebrgjegj\u00ebse me mediokritet vendos\u00ebn t\u2019ju p\u00ebrgjigjet me gjuh\u00ebn e gjarprit dhe duke mohuar qoft\u00eb dhe ndonj\u00eb efekt n\u00eb ekonomin\u00eb shqiptare.<\/p>\n

Me fillimin e kriz\u00ebs greke, p\u00ebrs\u00ebri u paralajm\u00ebrua qeveria p\u00ebr mund\u00ebsi dhe drejtime ku mund t\u00eb prekej e ndikohej ekonomia shqiptare, shoq\u00ebruar dhe me rekomandime modeste si mund t\u00eb minimizoheshin efektet negative.<\/p>\n

Tashm\u00eb jemi n\u00eb nj\u00eb tjet\u00ebr situat\u00eb, ku p\u00ebrs\u00ebri k\u00ebrkohet v\u00ebmendje dhe masa konkrete nga qeveria p\u00ebr t\u00eb minimizuar efektet e kriz\u00ebs s\u00eb borxheve, q\u00eb po \u201cshkund\u201d Europ\u00ebn. P\u00ebr m\u00eb keq akoma, ka shtrir\u00eb n\u00eb gjendje \u201cshoku\u201d fqinjin ton\u00eb jugor, Greqin\u00eb dhe i ka dh\u00ebn\u00eb \u201ctemperatur\u00eb t\u00eb lart\u00eb\u201d ekonomis\u00eb italiane. Jan\u00eb fqinj\u00ebt tan\u00eb m\u00eb t\u00eb af\u00ebrt, me t\u00eb cil\u00ebt kemi mbi gjysm\u00ebn e marr\u00ebdh\u00ebnieve ekonomike q\u00eb zhvillojm\u00eb me jasht\u00eb. Jemi t\u00eb nd\u00ebrthurur me eksport-importet, investimet e tyre n\u00eb ekonomin\u00eb shqiptare, emigracionin, sistemin bankar, ndihma e kredi etj.<\/p>\n

Nuk p\u00ebrjashtoj mund\u00ebsin\u00eb edhe t\u00eb disa p\u00ebrfitimeve q\u00eb mund t\u00eb ket\u00eb ekonomia shqiptare nga kriza e thell\u00eb ku ka r\u00ebn\u00eb Greqia dhe q\u00eb po troket dhe n\u00eb dyert e Italis\u00eb. Dikush llogarit ndonj\u00eb turist q\u00eb do t\u00eb ler\u00eb Greqin\u00eb e Italin\u00eb p\u00ebr tju drejtuar tregut shqiptar. Dikush tjet\u00ebr preferon t\u00eb p\u00ebrmend\u00eb q\u00eb disa prej emigrant\u00ebve q\u00eb kthehen nga pamund\u00ebsia e q\u00ebndrimit atje mund dhe do t\u00eb sjellin dhe disa kursime, p\u00ebr t\u00eb jetuar n\u00eb Shqip\u00ebri. Nuk ka pse te mohoj kategorikisht q\u00eb edhe ndonj\u00eb investitor tep\u00ebr i rrall\u00eb grek t\u00eb sjell\u00eb investime n\u00eb Shqip\u00ebri. Por me d\u00ebshir\u00ebn dhe urimin q\u00eb k\u00ebto efekte pozitive t\u00eb jen\u00eb sa m\u00eb t\u00eb shumta, mendoj q\u00eb nuk duhet t\u00eb bazohemi tek mendimi q\u00eb fatkeq\u00ebsia e tjetrit mund t\u00eb jet\u00eb me p\u00ebrfitime p\u00ebr ne.<\/p>\n

\u00cbsht\u00eb shum\u00eb shqet\u00ebsuese, alarmante dhe e pafalshme q\u00eb qeveria jon\u00eb ka vite q\u00eb b\u00ebn sehirxhiun ndaj kriz\u00ebs ekonomike bot\u00ebrore. N\u00eb vend q\u00eb t\u00eb kemi nj\u00eb Qeveri dhe nj\u00eb Bank\u00eb Qendrore q\u00eb t\u00eb vler\u00ebsojn\u00eb me realiz\u00ebm gjendjen dhe t\u00eb marrin masa e t\u00eb japin rekomandime se \u00e7far\u00eb duhet t\u00eb b\u00ebj gjithkush n\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb situat\u00eb, ne shohim vet\u00ebm gazetar\u00eb q\u00eb mbledhin me kusi e tenxhere mendime ekspert\u00ebsh p\u00ebr gjendjen e rrug\u00ebzgjidhje. Qeveritar\u00ebt flen\u00eb, n\u00eb mos e d\u00ebshirojn\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb situat\u00eb t\u00eb turbullt, p\u00ebr t\u00eb peshkuar korrupsionin e radh\u00ebs.<\/p>\n

M\u00eb krijohet ideja q\u00eb ekonomia shqiptare ka hyr\u00eb n\u00eb nj\u00eb faz\u00eb q\u00eb i ngjan nj\u00eb makine, q\u00eb k\u00ebrkon dhe qeveria i hedh m\u00eb shum\u00eb naft\u00eb, jo p\u00ebr t\u00eb shtuar distanc\u00ebn e p\u00ebrshkruar apo rritur shpejt\u00ebsin\u00eb, por p\u00ebr t\u00eb shtuar zhurm\u00ebn e buris\u00eb. Kjo pasi progresi ne ekonomi ndjehet me pikatore ose aspak n\u00eb jet\u00ebn e qytetarit, n\u00eb veprimtarin\u00eb e biznesit, por vet\u00ebm n\u00eb fjalimet e qeveritareve (kuptohet dhe ne te ardhurat e tyre). Pra, ekonomia n\u00eb vend num\u00ebro e tat\u00ebpjet\u00eb dhe propaganda boshe e qeveris\u00eb (buria) t\u00eb shurdhon p\u00ebrdit\u00eb e m\u00eb shum\u00eb.<\/p>\n

Potencialisht gjykoj se kriza e borxheve me t\u00eb cil\u00ebn po ndeshen partner\u00ebt tan\u00eb europian\u00eb e m\u00eb gjer\u00eb, mund t\u00eb ndikoj\u00eb edhe n\u00eb ekonomin\u00eb ton\u00eb n\u00eb disa drejtime. Gjith\u00e7ka varet nga pjerrt\u00ebsia\/shpejt\u00ebsia e t\u00eb tat\u00ebpjet\u00ebs dhe gjer\u00ebsia e veprimit t\u00eb kriz\u00ebs.<\/p>\n

S\u00eb pari, kjo kriz\u00eb do t\u00eb prish\u00eb balanca t\u00eb brishta t\u00eb ekonomis\u00eb. Tregues t\u00eb ndrysh\u00ebm, n\u00eb var\u00ebsi nga shkalla e nd\u00ebrthurjes, her\u00ebt a von\u00eb do t\u00eb l\u00ebkunden. Kjo do t\u00eb shtoj\u00eb doz\u00ebn e frik\u00ebs e mosbesimit n\u00eb publik e biznes. Luhatshm\u00ebrit\u00eb relativisht t\u00eb shpeshta t\u00eb treguesve (normat e interesave bankare, kursi i k\u00ebmbimit, \u00e7mimet etj.) dhe humbja e besimit llogariten si faktor\u00eb me ndikim t\u00eb gjer\u00eb n\u00eb ekonomin\u00eb e nj\u00eb vendi. Shoku psikologjik q\u00eb shoq\u00ebron kriz\u00ebn zbutet me transparenc\u00eb, edukim dhe komunikim t\u00eb vazhduesh\u00ebm e t\u00eb sinqert\u00eb me publikun. T\u00eb injorosh qytetarin e thjesht\u00eb, ekspertin dhe t\u00eb lesh pa komunikuar e debatuar efektet e pritshme e masat e p\u00ebrgatitura p\u00ebr kund\u00ebrveprim \u00ebsht\u00eb gabim fatal. Duhen filluar reforma reale e thelb\u00ebsore n\u00eb ekonomi, duke l\u00ebn\u00eb m\u00ebnjan\u00eb \u201ctam tamet e mrekullive t\u00eb ekonomis\u00eb shqiptare\u201d. Pa krijuar ndonj\u00eb tension tek publiku depozitues, pasi depozitat jan\u00eb t\u00eb sigurta n\u00eb bankat tona, por kujtojm\u00eb q\u00eb gjith\u00eb vendet europiane kan\u00eb pothuaj p\u00ebrfunduar programet se si do t\u00eb mb\u00ebshtesin bankat e tyre n\u00eb rast falimenti t\u00eb mundsh\u00ebm t\u00eb Greqis\u00eb.<\/p>\n

S\u00eb dyti, normat e huamarrjes n\u00eb tregun nd\u00ebrkomb\u00ebtar jan\u00eb rritur dhe kan\u00eb luhatje t\u00eb m\u00ebdha. Kjo situat\u00eb na v\u00ebshtir\u00ebson s\u00eb tep\u00ebrmi huamarrjen dhe na rrit koston e borxhit. Edhe n\u00ebse qeveria vendos t\u00eb mos marr\u00eb borxh n\u00eb tregun nd\u00ebrkomb\u00ebtar, p\u00ebr shkak t\u00eb kostos s\u00eb lart\u00eb (si\u00e7 edhe veproi t\u00ebr\u00ebsisht gabim kur mori borxh shum\u00eb t\u00eb shtrenjt\u00eb p\u00ebr vitet 2009-2010), duke k\u00ebrkuar borxh n\u00eb tregun e brendsh\u00ebm, do t\u00eb rris\u00eb p\u00ebrs\u00ebri interesin e bonove duke shtrenjtuar borxhin e brendsh\u00ebm, por duke rritur dhe koston e huave p\u00ebr biznesin dhe individin shqiptar.<\/p>\n

Shtetasit shqiptar nuk duhet ta shohin e kalojn\u00eb me indiferentiz\u00ebm \u00e7\u00ebshtjen e normave t\u00eb interesit, sikur nuk ndikon n\u00eb jet\u00ebn e tyre. Ata q\u00eb kan\u00eb marr\u00eb kredi ose do t\u00eb marrin nj\u00eb t\u00eb till\u00eb, duhet t\u00eb din\u00eb se sa m\u00eb shum\u00eb borxhe t\u00eb marr\u00eb qeveria nga bankat dhe sa m\u00eb shum\u00eb t\u00eb rritet interesi i bonove, aq m\u00eb shum\u00eb do t\u00eb paguajn\u00eb edhe ata p\u00ebr kredin\u00eb q\u00eb kan\u00eb marr\u00eb. Nga ana tjet\u00ebr rritja e interesit t\u00eb bonove shton koston e buxhetit dhe p\u00ebr pasoj\u00eb kemi m\u00eb pak shkolla, spitale, rrug\u00eb, uj\u00eb etj.<\/p>\n

S\u00eb treti, kursi i k\u00ebmbimit t\u00eb euros ka l\u00ebvizje t\u00eb m\u00ebdha, p\u00ebr pasoj\u00eb edhe l\u00ebvizjet e kursit t\u00eb lekut kan\u00eb luhatje. Kush m\u00eb shum\u00eb e kush m\u00eb pak, pothuaj t\u00eb gjith\u00eb jemi t\u00eb lidhur me kursin e k\u00ebmbimit t\u00eb lekut. Por sa m\u00eb shum\u00eb t\u00eb luhatet kursi i k\u00ebmbimit t\u00eb lekut aq m\u00eb shum\u00eb i ngren\u00eb \u00e7mimet tregtar\u00ebt. Kjo do t\u00eb na b\u00ebj t\u00eb blejm\u00eb m\u00eb pak mallra e t\u00eb b\u00ebhemi m\u00eb t\u00eb varf\u00ebr.<\/p>\n

S\u00eb kat\u00ebrti, mund t\u00eb ket\u00eb kthime emigrant\u00ebsh, q\u00eb duhen mb\u00ebshtetur p\u00ebr tu p\u00ebrshtatur sa m\u00eb par\u00eb me realitetin e ri, q\u00eb hasin n\u00eb ekonomin\u00eb e vendit t\u00eb tyre, pas shum\u00eb vitesh largimi. Nd\u00ebrkoh\u00eb k\u00ebta shtetas dhe t\u00eb tjer\u00eb n\u00eb v\u00ebshtir\u00ebsi n\u00eb vendet p\u00ebrkat\u00ebse nuk do i kemi n\u00eb vitet e ardhme burime d\u00ebrgesash. Por nj\u00eb pjes\u00eb e tyre mund t\u00eb ken\u00eb humbur dhe nga d\u00ebshtimi i biznesit atje, apo nga ulja e \u00e7mimeve p\u00ebr shitje t\u00eb ndonj\u00eb pasurie, mundet te mos p\u00ebrfitojn\u00eb pensionin e pritur nga vitet e pun\u00ebs n\u00eb Greqi etj.<\/p>\n

S\u00eb pesti, r\u00ebnia ekonomike ne Greqi e Itali ka efekte dhe n\u00eb ngadal\u00ebsimin e ekonomis\u00eb shqiptare, sidomos n\u00ebse eksportet tona nuk riorientohen shpejt.<\/p>\n

S\u00eb gjashti, tregjet e disa mallrave kan\u00eb ndjer\u00eb luhatje t\u00eb m\u00ebdha k\u00ebto koh\u00eb. Kriza e k\u00ebtyre viteve tregoi qart\u00eb se ka pasur luhatje \u00e7mimesh n\u00eb pothuaj gjith\u00eb mallrat, ku Shqip\u00ebria \u00ebsht\u00eb eksportuese ose importuese. Mund t\u00eb p\u00ebrmendim k\u00ebtu naft\u00ebn, ushqimet, mineralet etj. Luhatjet e forta do t\u00eb d\u00ebmtonin si qytetar\u00ebt ashtu dhe biznesin p\u00ebrkat\u00ebs, n\u00eb p\u00ebrfundim do t\u00eb efektonin dhe ekonomin\u00eb<\/p>\n

S\u00eb shtati, qeveria jon\u00eb ka shpallur nj\u00eb fushat\u00eb t\u00eb re privatizimesh, q\u00eb p\u00ebr nga forma e organizimit dhe urgjenca e proklamimit m\u00eb shum\u00eb i ngjan tabelave t\u00eb dyqaneve n\u00eb falimentim \u201cmalli likuidohet\u201d. Po k\u00ebshtu po ndodh nj\u00ebher\u00ebsh dhe me Greqin\u00eb dhe besoj s\u00eb shpejti di\u00e7ka duhet t\u00eb b\u00ebj edhe Italia. Kjo konkurrenc\u00eb do t\u00eb na sjell\u00eb \u00e7mime m\u00eb t\u00eb ul\u00ebta p\u00ebr privatizimet dhe investitor\u00eb t\u00eb huaj jo shum\u00eb serioz\u00eb (me shpres\u00ebn e kot\u00eb q\u00eb nuk jan\u00eb paracaktuar tashm\u00eb nga qeveria privatizues karagjoz\u00eb). Edhe shitja e nj\u00eb gomari nuk mund te realizohet me p\u00ebllitjet e vet\u00eb gomarit apo britmat e \u00e7jerra t\u00eb t\u00eb zotit, por do strategji t\u00eb mirorganizuar.<\/p>\n

S\u00eb fundmi, di\u00e7ka p\u00ebr sistemin bankar. Kriza greke do t\u00eb shkund\u00eb disa banka europiane, duke u imponuar atyre shtim kapitali. Kuptohet q\u00eb dalja n\u00eb drit\u00eb e shifrave t\u00eb reja mund dhe duket do t\u00eb ndikoj\u00eb edhe tek besimi i klient\u00ebve bankar\u00eb. Disa banka do t\u00eb jen\u00eb n\u00eb k\u00ebrkim t\u00eb ngutsh\u00ebm t\u00eb likuiditeteve. Goditjet pritet t\u00eb jen\u00eb t\u00eb ndjeshme edhe n\u00eb sistemin bankar ballkanik. P\u00ebrpara kemi nj\u00eb mori t\u00eb panjohurash dhe t\u00eb papriturash. Efekti m\u00eb i shpejt\u00eb do t\u00eb jet\u00eb nj\u00eb periudh\u00eb stepje nga bankat greke (ndoshta dhe italiane) n\u00eb kreditimin e ekonomis\u00eb, t\u00eb pakt\u00ebn nga pafuqishm\u00ebria e marrjes s\u00eb fondeve nga bankat m\u00ebm\u00eb t\u00eb tyre n\u00eb vendin p\u00ebrkat\u00ebs. Natyrsh\u00ebm q\u00eb do t\u00eb ket\u00eb v\u00ebshtir\u00ebsi n\u00eb shtimin e kapitalit t\u00eb k\u00ebtyre bankave, n\u00ebse do t\u00eb jet\u00eb e nevojshme, meq\u00eb po rritet s\u00eb tep\u00ebrmi niveli i kredive me probleme. Ka mund\u00ebsi q\u00eb disa banka t\u00eb shohin mund\u00ebsin\u00eb e ndihm\u00ebs me likuiditete t\u00eb bankave m\u00ebm\u00eb.<\/p>\n

Mbetet krejt i paqart\u00eb argumentimi i Bank\u00ebs s\u00eb Shqip\u00ebris\u00eb p\u00ebr uljen e fundit t\u00eb norm\u00ebs baz\u00eb t\u00eb interesit, n\u00eb k\u00ebto situate kaq t\u00eb turbullta t\u00eb ekonomis\u00eb bot\u00ebrore, kur inflacioni n\u00eb eurozon\u00eb (partneri yn\u00eb m\u00eb i madh tregtar) u mbyll me 3 p\u00ebr qind. P\u00ebr m\u00eb tep\u00ebr kjo mas\u00eb kaq e r\u00ebnd\u00ebsishme nuk duhej marr\u00eb n\u00eb kushtet kur K\u00ebshilli Mbik\u00ebqyr\u00ebs, s\u00eb bashku me guvernatorin e kan\u00eb mandatin e sosur. Gjith\u00e7ka n\u00eb funksion t\u00eb rizgjedhjes, kur banka qendrore duhet t\u00eb jet\u00eb pengesa kryesore n\u00eb ekonomin\u00eb e vendit, p\u00ebr veprime n\u00eb fitim mandatesh.<\/p>\n

Qeveria dhe Banka e Shqip\u00ebris\u00eb shpresojm\u00eb q\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb radh\u00eb do t\u00eb dalin shpejt n\u00eb publik p\u00ebr t\u00eb na treguar masat mbrojt\u00ebse q\u00eb kan\u00eb marr\u00eb p\u00ebr t\u00eb evituar a minimizuar efektet negative.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Nga Shk\u00eblqim Cani Ekonomia europiane po kalon nj\u00eb periudh\u00eb t\u00eb v\u00ebshtir\u00eb. Qeverit\u00eb e \u00e7do vendi po marrin masa p\u00ebr t\u00eb kufizuar efektet negative t\u00eb kriz\u00ebs s\u00eb borxheve. Bashkimi Europian dhe vendet e Eurozon\u00ebs po bashk\u00ebrendojn\u00eb masat p\u00ebr t\u00eb shp\u00ebtuar nga falimentimi ekonomin\u00eb e fqinjit ton\u00eb jugor, Greqis\u00eb, si dhe p\u00ebr t\u00eb kufizuar n\u00eb maksimum p\u00ebrhapjen […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-10904","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","6":"category-artikuj"},"yoast_head":"\nKriza e borxheve dhe pritshm\u00ebria shqiptare - FjALA e LIR\u00cb - Arkivi<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/fjala.info\/2009-2015\/kriza-e-borxheve-dhe-pritshmeria-shqiptare\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"sq_AL\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Kriza e borxheve dhe pritshm\u00ebria shqiptare - FjALA e LIR\u00cb - Arkivi\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Nga Shk\u00eblqim Cani Ekonomia europiane po kalon nj\u00eb periudh\u00eb t\u00eb v\u00ebshtir\u00eb. Qeverit\u00eb e \u00e7do vendi po marrin masa p\u00ebr t\u00eb kufizuar efektet negative t\u00eb kriz\u00ebs s\u00eb borxheve. 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